NZ - Gore - Race 4

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

11.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MELO (9) finished a gutsy third fresh up at Wingatui and then had excuses when being a beaten favourite here 4 weeks ago. She has a good draw and can make amends. On top for us, so follow your money. MARIA PILAR (5) is heading the right way with her form and does appear to have some upside. She was only beaten by a head last time out at Cromwell, and she can go one better, even from her wide draw. RISK MITIGATION (8) may have found the step up to 7f a touch too far at this stage of her career and only battled over the final stages at Cromwell 3 weeks ago. She is worth another chance with the return to 6f. GOLDEN SPIRIT (12) will be making her debut with the advantage of a 7lbs claim. She hails from the right stable, and any market confidence must be respected. TIME FOR TRIX (7) has been given time to mature. Watch closely on debut. ASSEMBLE (10) is not out of this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 14 at Wingatui on November 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Red Invader with 117lbs at $8.60. Last start second last of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind So Brassy with 119lbs at $4.40. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 1st Pick 9 Melo Jockey: Triston Moodley Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Triston Moodley T: Robert Dennis	78	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 14 at Wingatui on November 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Red Invader with 117lbs at $8.60. Last start second last of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind So Brassy with 119lbs at $4.40. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.
6	Returns from a 32-day let-up. Most recently 10th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on November 19 over 6f, 6 len behind Blushing carrying 127lbs at $7.40. The start before that 2nd of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Wyworry carrying 125lbs at $16.50. Not a great draw again but able to play a big role. 2nd Pick 6 Fawke Lightning Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Len & Lacy Stewart J: Non Runner T: Len & Lacy Stewart	120	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Returns from a 32-day let-up. Most recently 10th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on November 19 over 6f, 6 len behind Blushing carrying 127lbs at $7.40. The start before that 2nd of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Wyworry carrying 125lbs at $16.50. Not a great draw again but able to play a big role.
5	Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Riverton on November 2 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Rings Of Satin with 122lbs at $8.20. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Lucky Ferrando carrying 125lbs at $8.10. Well placed. Right in the mix again. 3rd Pick 5 Maria Pilar Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Kelly Shearing J: Amber Riddell T: Kelly Shearing	117	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Riverton on November 2 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Rings Of Satin with 122lbs at $8.20. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Lucky Ferrando carrying 125lbs at $8.10. Well placed. Right in the mix again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.