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Resulted

NZ - Gore - Race 1

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
9.9f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
11.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RAY'S AWAKE (3) steps up to a middle distance for the first time after a couple of sound efforts to open this season. Daniel Bothamley is a positive jockey change, and in a field that is not very strong, he is the one to beat. AUTUMN BREEZE (1) was not far away at Cromwell 3 weeks ago over 7f, and he will relish getting out to a middle distance for the first time. He can settle a touch closer than usual and should be right in the finish here. SPARKY (2) suffered a cardiac arrhythmia during his last run at Riccarton and has been given plenty of time to get over that run. He was at the improving stage of his prep before that, and if he doesn't need the hit-out, he can figure in the top 4 again. CAPTAIN DAVO (4) did not have the best of runs when finishing fifth at Cromwell 3 weeks ago, when backing up quickly from a sound effort on the first day there. He is another with top 4 claims in this modest field. AUDITOR (6) will be nearing his peak fitness, and is not out of this at odds.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Ray's Awake silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming got back early 5th of 10 at Wingatui on November 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Pontoon carrying 129lbs at $11.50. Second-up 7th of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Ocean Boulevard with 129lbs at $7.80. Can improve. Well placed and can improve enough to take this out.

1st Pick
3

Ray's Awake

Jockey: Daniel Bothamley

Trainer: Terry Kennedy

J: Daniel Bothamley

T: Terry Kennedy

67---13%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming got back early 5th of 10 at Wingatui on November 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Pontoon carrying 129lbs at $11.50. Second-up 7th of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Ocean Boulevard with 129lbs at $7.80. Can improve. Well placed and can improve enough to take this out.

1
Autumn Breeze silk

At the latest run 5th of 14 at Cromwell on November 30 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Let Me Loose with 122lbs at $18. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Wingatui on November 4 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Pontoon carrying 122lbs at $10.30. Finds a nice race this time and is expected to go very well.

2nd Pick
1

Autumn Breeze

Jockey: Ruvanesh Muniandy

Trainer: Shankar Muniandy

J: Ruvanesh Muniandy

T: Shankar Muniandy

83---19%

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 14 at Cromwell on November 30 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Let Me Loose with 122lbs at $18. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Wingatui on November 4 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Pontoon carrying 122lbs at $10.30. Finds a nice race this time and is expected to go very well.

2
Sparky silk

Comes here off a 39-day let-up. Last start ran last of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 62 len behind Tik Tok Ted with 129lbs at $14.70. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Riverton on November 2 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind It's Marlin with 129lbs at $11.80. Will push forward and is among the chances on best form.

3rd Pick
2

Sparky

Jockey: Terry Moseley

Trainer: Nikki & Barrie Blatch

J: Terry Moseley

T: Nikki & Barrie Blatch

59---12%

Analysis

Comes here off a 39-day let-up. Last start ran last of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 62 len behind Tik Tok Ted with 129lbs at $14.70. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Riverton on November 2 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind It's Marlin with 129lbs at $11.80. Will push forward and is among the chances on best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.