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Resulted

IE - Fairyhouse - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
Handicap
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

This represents a drop in class for APRIL MIST, who gets the vote in a tricky nursery. Bold Commander has a solid chance at the weights if revitalised by a first-time visor, with nursery debutants Ocean Surge and Pink Venom also appealing.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
April Mist (Ire) silk

Built on a promising debut with a cosy victory over Bold Commander at Bellewstown (5f). Highly tried in listed company both starts since, the latest of those easily forgiven (left poorly placed). Bred to stay 6f and looks favourably treated on first run in a handicap.

1st Pick
1

April Mist (Ire)

Jockey: Nicola Burns

Trainer: G. M. Lyons, Ireland

J: Nicola Burns

T: G. M. Lyons, Ireland

100---10%

Analysis

Built on a promising debut with a cosy victory over Bold Commander at Bellewstown (5f). Highly tried in listed company both starts since, the latest of those easily forgiven (left poorly placed). Bred to stay 6f and looks favourably treated on first run in a handicap.

2
Bold Commander (Ire) silk

Fifth in strong maiden at the Curragh (6f) on debut prior to chasing home April Mist at Bellewstown (now on much better terms with that rival). Hasn't progressed in a couple of starts since, however, he is reasonably treated if first-time blinkers have the desired effect on return to a nursery.

2nd Pick
2

Bold Commander (Ire)

Jockey: R. P. Whelan

Trainer: Aidan O'brien, Ireland

J: R. P. Whelan

T: Aidan O'brien, Ireland

98---12%

Scratched

Analysis

Fifth in strong maiden at the Curragh (6f) on debut prior to chasing home April Mist at Bellewstown (now on much better terms with that rival). Hasn't progressed in a couple of starts since, however, he is reasonably treated if first-time blinkers have the desired effect on return to a nursery.

3
Ocean Surge (Ire) silk

6-figure purchase as a yearling. Has shown ability in maidens, finishing 7ΒΌ lengths fifth behind some above-average types on qualifying run at Gowran (7f). That form has merit, and she could well improve now sent handicapping by an in-form yard.

3rd Pick
3

Ocean Surge (Ire)

Jockey: William James Lee

Trainer: W. Mccreery, Ireland

J: William James Lee

T: W. Mccreery, Ireland

87---17%

Analysis

6-figure purchase as a yearling. Has shown ability in maidens, finishing 7ΒΌ lengths fifth behind some above-average types on qualifying run at Gowran (7f). That form has merit, and she could well improve now sent handicapping by an in-form yard.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.