IE - Fairyhouse - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Listed

Turf

Good (Good to Firm in places)

58.5K

VIEW

Verdict

LIVENKA looked a smart prospect prior to her run in the Round Tower, and with no ground concerns on this occasion, she may well resume winning ways. Group-1 entered Marco Polo is feared most stepping back up in class, with Big Negotiator best of the rest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	From an excellent Juddmonte family. Looked a smart prospect when following up her C&D maiden win in a very valuable contest at Naas (6f). Connections quick to blame the ground for lacklustre hat-trick bid in Curragh Group 3, and she sets a useful standard on her previous form. 1st Pick 10 Livenka Jockey: C. T. Keane Trainer: G. M. Lyons, Ireland J: C. T. Keane T: G. M. Lyons, Ireland	100	-	-	-	56%
Analysis From an excellent Juddmonte family. Looked a smart prospect when following up her C&D maiden win in a very valuable contest at Naas (6f). Connections quick to blame the ground for lacklustre hat-trick bid in Curragh Group 3, and she sets a useful standard on her previous form.
3	Chased home subsequent Group 3 winner on racecourse bow. Still looked in need of experience when well-held favourite in the Gimcrack prior to landing the odds impressively at Cork (6f) last time. High hopes of further improvement given his pedigree/Group 1 entries. Serious player up in grade. 2nd Pick 3 Marco Polo (Ire) Jockey: W. M. Lordan Trainer: Aidan O'brien, Ireland J: W. M. Lordan T: Aidan O'brien, Ireland	93	-	-	-	25%	Scratched
Analysis Chased home subsequent Group 3 winner on racecourse bow. Still looked in need of experience when well-held favourite in the Gimcrack prior to landing the odds impressively at Cork (6f) last time. High hopes of further improvement given his pedigree/Group 1 entries. Serious player up in grade.
7	Much improved when landing a listed race (form hasn't worked out) at Naas in first-time visor on penultimate start. Wasn't in anything like the same form faced with soft ground in the Lowther subsequently. Solid chance at the weights this time, for all she probably lacks the scope of a few in here. 3rd Pick 7 Big Negotiator Jockey: William James Lee Trainer: P. Twomey, Ireland J: William James Lee T: P. Twomey, Ireland	97	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Much improved when landing a listed race (form hasn't worked out) at Naas in first-time visor on penultimate start. Wasn't in anything like the same form faced with soft ground in the Lowther subsequently. Solid chance at the weights this time, for all she probably lacks the scope of a few in here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.