NZ - Ellerslie - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.5f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

56.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TOWERING VISION (1) had trialled up well enough prior to finishing fifth fresh up here just over 3 weeks ago when needing the run. He will be better for that hit-out, and if 7 ½f is not already too short for him, then he will be hard to beat. FAULTLESS (2) found the 6f a bit too sharp for him when finishing fourth in a 5-horse field at Whanganui last week. The quick backup won't bother him, and the extra 1 ½f is a far more suitable trip for him. Stick with him on an each-way basis. HAPPY YOUMZAIN (3) fought on gamely to finish third at Tauranga 2 weeks ago, and his effort for fourth here 3 starts back was very good. He just needs the right run to be winning this. TO THE MAX (5) followed up a fast finishing fourth on debut with a tidy win at Arawa Park nearly a fortnight ago. He is on target for some richer races and can take the next step here. LOS SANTOS (8) was narrowly beaten here in his penultimate start, and then was only bloused out late at Te Aroha last start. Go again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 9 at this track on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Affirmative Action carrying 128lbs at $9.10. Previously second-up won by a nose at Te Rapa LR Waikato Vet May 3 over 7f in soft going defeating Navy Dreams with 126lbs at $11.20. Certainly worth following up. 1st Pick 1 Towering Vision Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Wiremu Pinn T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	127	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 9 at this track on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Affirmative Action carrying 128lbs at $9.10. Previously second-up won by a nose at Te Rapa LR Waikato Vet May 3 over 7f in soft going defeating Navy Dreams with 126lbs at $11.20. Certainly worth following up.
2	Recent form sound. Last start in a small field at Wanganui on November 22 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Passiflora carrying 121lbs at $3.60. The start before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at this track on November 4 over 7f, slow going neck behind Affirmative Action with 119lbs at $14.10. Follow up. 2nd Pick 2 Faultless Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Peter & Shaun Mckay J: Craig Grylls T: Peter & Shaun Mckay	173	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start in a small field at Wanganui on November 22 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Passiflora carrying 121lbs at $3.60. The start before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at this track on November 4 over 7f, slow going neck behind Affirmative Action with 119lbs at $14.10. Follow up.
3	Most recently 3rd of 9 at Tauranga on November 15 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Rising Star with 120lbs at $3.40. The start before that got back early 6th of 9 at this track on November 4 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Affirmative Action carrying 126lbs at $9.90. Huge chance on best form. 3rd Pick 3 Happy Youmzain Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Tony Pike J: Sam Mcnab T: Tony Pike	118	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 9 at Tauranga on November 15 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Rising Star with 120lbs at $3.40. The start before that got back early 6th of 9 at this track on November 4 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Affirmative Action carrying 126lbs at $9.90. Huge chance on best form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.