NZ - Ellerslie - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

72.4K

VIEW

Verdict

HARVEY WALLBANGER (1) beat a small field stylishly on debut here, and his next couple of starts have been in Stakes grade, including his last start second here as the favourite in the Eclipse Stakes a month ago. Hard to beat from a good gate, so follow your money. SINGLETARY (2) ran a bold race here on debut in a good field when finishing runner-up. Opie Bosson steps into the irons, and he has the scope to go one better here. LIGURIA (8) won a trial before finishing a game fourth on debut here just over 5 weeks ago. She will continue to improve with racing and should pick up her first win at short notice. TE ENCUENTRO (6) franked her trial form with an impressive last-to-first win on debut in a strong field here in the same race as the third pick. She will get back again, and if the pace is genuine, then she will be hitting the line hard again. She has plenty more in store and can win again. PARFAIT DIMANCHE (4) has been thereabouts against most of these in her 3 starts to date.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track in the G2 Eclipse Stakes on January 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Kinnaird carrying 126lbs at $2.10. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Pukekohe in the LR Counties Challenge Stakes on November 22 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind De Armas with 126lbs at $1.90. An inside alley is a big advantage. Key chance on latest run and expected to be in the finish again. 1st Pick 1 Harvey Wallbanger Jockey: Rory Hutchings Trainer: Tony Pike J: Rory Hutchings T: Tony Pike	82	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track in the G2 Eclipse Stakes on January 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Kinnaird carrying 126lbs at $2.10. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Pukekohe in the LR Counties Challenge Stakes on November 22 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind De Armas with 126lbs at $1.90. An inside alley is a big advantage. Key chance on latest run and expected to be in the finish again.
2	At debut, 2nd of 7 at this track on January 11 over 6f, 0.2 len behind Stromlinien with 126lbs at $9. Can return to winning form. 2nd Pick 2 Singletary Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Andrew Campbell J: Opie Bosson T: Andrew Campbell	95	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At debut, 2nd of 7 at this track on January 11 over 6f, 0.2 len behind Stromlinien with 126lbs at $9. Can return to winning form.
8	At debut, 4th of 9 at this track on December 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Te Encuentro carrying 119lbs at $5.30. Follow up. 3rd Pick 8 Liguria Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	49	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At debut, 4th of 9 at this track on December 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Te Encuentro carrying 119lbs at $5.30. Follow up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.