NZ - Ellerslie - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

31.7K

VIEW

Verdict

NAVY ENSIGN (2) made the most of a positive ride when breaking through for an overdue maiden win at Pukekohe 15 days ago. He can make full use of his perfect inside gate, and he loses nothing by having Opie Bosson take over the reins. On top again. CELTIC TYCOON (1) franked a solid debut effort for fifth, with a comfortable win at Pukekohe just over 3 weeks ago. He will relish the extra 1f, and he can repeat the dose. TRAFALGAR (3) set the pace at Waverley when making his debut, and proved to be too strong, scoring by more than a length as the favourite. He will have no issue racing in a clockwise direction, and he will be hard to peg back again. HAYWORTH (8) bolted in at Tauherenikau nearly 2 weeks ago, and his trainer is no stranger to trekking his team to this track and winning races. This field has more depth, but he can measure up again. BURNERPHONE (5) cannot be faulted for her consistency, and she has winning form on this track. Each way all day.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	At the latest run favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a 0.2 len at Pukekohe March 20 over 1m defeating Shoebill with 120lbs at $3.30. Before that 5th of 11 at this track on March 7 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Confesara carrying 123lbs at $14.10. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time. 1st Pick 2 Navy Ensign Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Murray Thompson J: Opie Bosson T: Murray Thompson	102	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At the latest run favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a 0.2 len at Pukekohe March 20 over 1m defeating Shoebill with 120lbs at $3.30. Before that 5th of 11 at this track on March 7 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Confesara carrying 123lbs at $14.10. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.
1	Raced twice to date. At debut, 5th of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Sweet Smile carrying 128lbs at $5.70. Last start won by a 0.5 len at Pukekohe March 13 over 7f on a soft track defeating Why Daddy carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Very hard to stop again. 2nd Pick 1 Celtic Tycoon Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	68	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Raced twice to date. At debut, 5th of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Sweet Smile carrying 128lbs at $5.70. Last start won by a 0.5 len at Pukekohe March 13 over 7f on a soft track defeating Why Daddy carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Very hard to stop again.
3	Was well in the market at debut, won won by 1.2 len at Waverley March 18 over 7f defeating Rybakina with 127lbs at $4.70. Should be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 3 Trafalgar Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Cody Cole J: Samantha Collett T: Cody Cole	97	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Was well in the market at debut, won won by 1.2 len at Waverley March 18 over 7f defeating Rybakina with 127lbs at $4.70. Should be in the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.