NZ - Ellerslie - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

17.1K

VIEW

Verdict

NAVY ENSIGN (5) has hit the line solidly in both of his starts to date on this track, finishing runner-up on each occasion. The extra ½f should make all the difference, and he can go one better. DEPRIVE (4) has also finished second in each of his starts to date. He rattled home to miss by a length and a half at Te Aroha 18 days ago, and with the right run, he can get the job done. SUPER LEGOCY (3) had plenty of trial experience prior to finishing seventh on debut at Te Aroha 18 days ago. He will continue to get better with more racing and can figure in the top 3 here. WOMAN IN CHARGE (10) is knocking on the door and has been a beaten short-priced favourite in her last couple of starts. She can secure a soft run from a handy gate and should go close to taking this out. Follow your money. O'HELLO (6) makes his debut off the back of a trial win late last month. A wide draw is against him, but any market support will be a good lead. Include in all combinations.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Raced twice to date. At debut, 2nd of 12 at this track on September 20 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Well Written carrying 127lbs at $23.10. Second-up 2nd of 11 at this track on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Golden Wings with 126lbs at $5.30. Close to a win and another bold showing is expected. 1st Pick 5 Navy Ensign Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Murray Thompson J: Matt Cartwright T: Murray Thompson	125	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Raced twice to date. At debut, 2nd of 12 at this track on September 20 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Well Written carrying 127lbs at $23.10. Second-up 2nd of 11 at this track on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Golden Wings with 126lbs at $5.30. Close to a win and another bold showing is expected.
4	Had two starts to date. At debut, 2nd of 7 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Circus Trix with 125lbs at $5.70. Last start 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on November 11 over 5 ¾f, slow going 1.5 len behind Sibling Rivalry carrying 120lbs at $5.40. Going well. Close to a win and should prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 4 Deprive Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley J: Sam Mcnab T: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley	166	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Had two starts to date. At debut, 2nd of 7 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Circus Trix with 125lbs at $5.70. Last start 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on November 11 over 5 ¾f, slow going 1.5 len behind Sibling Rivalry carrying 120lbs at $5.40. Going well. Close to a win and should prove hard to beat.
3	At debut, 7th of 13 at Te Aroha on November 11 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Rise Companions carrying 129lbs at $7.90. Among the leading chances. 3rd Pick 3 Super Legocy Jockey: Sam Weatherley Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Sam Weatherley T: Stephen Marsh	74	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis At debut, 7th of 13 at Te Aroha on November 11 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Rise Companions carrying 129lbs at $7.90. Among the leading chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.