NZ - Ellerslie - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

17.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ELEGANTE (10) was caught wide without cover and ran on strongly for 2nd last start when favourite at Woodville. Extra furlong shouldn't worry here. CAPITAL EXPRESS (1) spelled after fading in the G1 Manawatu Sirs Produce Stakes in March. In or near the lead when place in both start this prep over shorter trips. Sound claims again. WONDERFUL YOU (4) ran 3rd to Coniston in an 4f trial in August then led in a dominant trail win over 5 ½f here last month. Respect. GROCER'S GIRL (8) attempted to lead all the way when 2nd-up at this trip here last month but was nabbed late. All of her 3 placings have come here. Can give a sight from the nice draw. ARDROBELLE (11) was 3 wide just off the pace and lengthened stride nicely to score a 2L trial win at Matamata October 6th. Solid claims on debut.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Raced twice to date. At debut, 2nd of 12 at Te Rapa on September 13 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.2 len behind Shirase carrying 121lbs at $13.80. Last start 2nd of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Shambo Jack with 122lbs at $3.80. Gets her chance. Shapes as one of the key chances. 1st Pick 9 Joyeuse Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Non Runner T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	105	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Raced twice to date. At debut, 2nd of 12 at Te Rapa on September 13 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.2 len behind Shirase carrying 121lbs at $13.80. Last start 2nd of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Shambo Jack with 122lbs at $3.80. Gets her chance. Shapes as one of the key chances.
10	Having third race start. At debut, 6th of 13 at this track on September 19 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Spellbound with 122lbs at $14.40. Second-up 2nd of 14 at Woodville on October 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Park In The Bar carrying 122lbs at $2.60. Expected to feature. 2nd Pick 10 Elegante Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Michael Mcnab T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	112	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, 6th of 13 at this track on September 19 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Spellbound with 122lbs at $14.40. Second-up 2nd of 14 at Woodville on October 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Park In The Bar carrying 122lbs at $2.60. Expected to feature.
1	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Taupo on September 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.0 len behind Rip Tide with 127lbs at $2. Second run from a spell 3rd of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Pilates carrying 121lbs at $4.50. Big chance. 3rd Pick 1 Capital Express Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Paul Pertab J: Opie Bosson T: Paul Pertab	83	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Taupo on September 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.0 len behind Rip Tide with 127lbs at $2. Second run from a spell 3rd of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Pilates carrying 121lbs at $4.50. Big chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.