NZ - Ellerslie - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

33.2K

VIEW

Verdict

HIGH EMOTION (5) did not cope with the quick backup here last month, and after racing keenly, she dropped right out of it in the run home. She drops back to a sprint, which is a query, but the Marsh stable is winning everywhere, and she can make amends. Watch for her late. CARSOLIO (4) made progress in a spring campaign, and he will be a lot stronger this year. He has been tuned up with a recent trial, and with Opie Bosson in the saddle, he can give this a shake. PANTHER (8) lived up to his reputation when winning his maiden fresh up at Tauranga nearly a month ago in fine style. There is more depth to this field, but with the pace on, he can have the last say. SCOLERA (3) had an excuse when finishing runner-up here a month ago. She lost a shoe that day and stood on the toe clip, which made her action awkward over the final stages. If she has not missed any important work, then she can go one better here. LIECHTENSTEIN (6) is a handy mare peaking third up. Each way value.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start 7th of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Up The Anti with 128lbs at $2.70. Before that led but faded 2nd of 14 at this track on December 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Mid Ocean carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Capable of sharp improvement. 1st Pick 5 High Emotion Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: George Rooke T: Stephen Marsh	110	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start 7th of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Up The Anti with 128lbs at $2.70. Before that led but faded 2nd of 14 at this track on December 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Mid Ocean carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Capable of sharp improvement.
4	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at this track October 18 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Charmrose with 127lbs at $9.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.5 len Taupo August 17 over 5f on heavy track defeating Fleeting Star with 123lbs at $2.20. Everything points to a effective return. 2nd Pick 4 Carsolio Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Opie Bosson T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	133	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at this track October 18 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Charmrose with 127lbs at $9.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.5 len Taupo August 17 over 5f on heavy track defeating Fleeting Star with 123lbs at $2.20. Everything points to a effective return.
8	Third race start. Promising on debut 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on April 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Lubeck carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Went for a spell before returning favourite, won by 1.3 len at Tauranga January 2 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Flashback with 126lbs at $2.10. Back in great shape and a bold showing is expected. 3rd Pick 8 Panther Jockey: Rory Hutchings Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Rory Hutchings T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	105	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third race start. Promising on debut 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on April 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Lubeck carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Went for a spell before returning favourite, won by 1.3 len at Tauranga January 2 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Flashback with 126lbs at $2.10. Back in great shape and a bold showing is expected.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.