NZ - Ellerslie - Race 2

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

17.3K

VIEW

Verdict

DEPRIVE (7) was put aside after finishing in the money in all 4 of his starts to date. He has not had any lead-up trials, but has a drawn advantage over the top 2 picks, and he will be right in the finish. HEAVY IS THE CROWN (2) has been placed in each of his 2 starts to date on a heavy track. His trial form is good, and with plenty of time to mature, he should be out of this grade at short notice. Each way. PRESENCE OF MIND (12) did nothing in the spring, but looked much better when resuming at Matamata. Include. UTOPIC WARRIOR (8) makes his debut off the back of a good trial win, and he also has a good draw. He has a reputation and should be well found in the market. MANOLETE (3) was fourth on debut, and with some luck from a wide gate, he can figure in the top 4 again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation second of 8 at Te Rapa January 16 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Glam Award carrying 122lbs at $2.70. On debut second of 10 at Taupo December 28 over 5 ½f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Written Glow with 121lbs at $8.70. Can improve again here. 1st Pick 10 Biding My Time Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: David Greene J: Non Runner T: David Greene	78	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation second of 8 at Te Rapa January 16 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Glam Award carrying 122lbs at $2.70. On debut second of 10 at Taupo December 28 over 5 ½f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Written Glow with 121lbs at $8.70. Can improve again here.
11	Second run back. First-up after two months eased back early on 5th of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind My Gabriel carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Tauherenikau on January 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Quello Dolce with 121lbs at $4.40. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer. 2nd Pick 11 Paper Moon Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	112	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months eased back early on 5th of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind My Gabriel carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Tauherenikau on January 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Quello Dolce with 121lbs at $4.40. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.
7	Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign second of 9 at Te Rapa December 20 over 6f, soft track, a head behind Confesara carrying 120lbs at $5.50. On debut second of 7 at Pukekohe October 29 over 6f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Circus Trix carrying 125lbs at $5.70. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat. 3rd Pick 7 Deprive Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley J: Sam Mcnab T: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley	84	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign second of 9 at Te Rapa December 20 over 6f, soft track, a head behind Confesara carrying 120lbs at $5.50. On debut second of 7 at Pukekohe October 29 over 6f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Circus Trix carrying 125lbs at $5.70. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.