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14 Min Till Start

NZ - Ellerslie - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
5.5f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
25.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DON GIUSEPPE (1) ran away for a big trial win then got back and wide on debut but found the line with purpose for 3rd behind Zanardi at Hastings over 4f. The step up in distance looks ideal here. AQUILA VELOCE (4) wide on the speed from the wide gate and fought bravely for 2nd to Zanardi on debut. Can give a sight here but not sure the extra trip suits her. PRINCESS GRAZI (5) has won both her trials, the latest at Matamata when charged home out wide under her own stream for a smart win. Strong claims here. CHANCELLOR BEEL (2) sat just off the leader and was strong to the line in his trial win at Avondale. Keep safe here. QUEEN JACQUI (6) has had two trials for a nose win at Avondale over 3f and a quiet 4th at Matamata over 4f. Place claims from handy draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Don Giuseppe silk

At debut, 3rd of 8 at Hastings on October 10 over 4f, slow going 1.75 len behind Zanardi carrying 126lbs at $6. Shows ability and expected to improve. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat.

1st Pick
1

Don Giuseppe

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Peter & Shaun Mckay

J: Joe Doyle

T: Peter & Shaun Mckay

108---19%9/2

Analysis

At debut, 3rd of 8 at Hastings on October 10 over 4f, slow going 1.75 len behind Zanardi carrying 126lbs at $6. Shows ability and expected to improve. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat.

4
Aquila Veloce silk

At debut, rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 8 at Hastings on October 10 over 4f, slow going 1.5 len behind Zanardi with 121lbs at $16.60. Makes plenty of appeal.

2nd Pick
4

Aquila Veloce

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Peter & Shaun Mckay

J: Samantha Collett

T: Peter & Shaun Mckay

115---25%3/1

Analysis

At debut, rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 8 at Hastings on October 10 over 4f, slow going 1.5 len behind Zanardi with 121lbs at $16.60. Makes plenty of appeal.

5
Princess Grazi silk

Stephen Marsh trained two-year-old filly lining up for debut. Is the winner of two trials. Looks the testing material.

3rd Pick
5

Princess Grazi

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Stephen Marsh

55---13%7/1

Analysis

Stephen Marsh trained two-year-old filly lining up for debut. Is the winner of two trials. Looks the testing material.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.