NZ - Ellerslie - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

26.0K

VIEW

Verdict

MISS PERNA (2) battled away fairly well when resuming and probably needed the run. She had won a trial here before that, and should now be spot on with her fitness. Craig Grylls sticks with hr, and so do we. SHAMBO JACK (1) was less than a length from the winner fresh up at Pukekohe 15 days ago, and that form will make him one of the hardest to beat in this. GROCER'S GIRL (3) won the most recent of her 2 Taupo trials, and is bred to want more ground. With any luck from a wide draw, she can figure in the finish. Check the market. FIAMMA (6) has been showing ability at the trials, and she will have use of the coveted pole position for her debut. Use the market as the best guide. VITALIZE (11) has the breeding that suggests she will want more ground, and her trial form has been near enough. Include in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 9 at Matamata on March 22 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Mayfair Street with 122lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Te Aroha 2yo Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 5 ¾f, 8 len behind Lara Antipova carrying 122lbs at $4.30. Is a definite threat in this line-up. 1st Pick 2 Miss Perna Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	129	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 9 at Matamata on March 22 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Mayfair Street with 122lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Te Aroha 2yo Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 5 ¾f, 8 len behind Lara Antipova carrying 122lbs at $4.30. Is a definite threat in this line-up.
1	Third race start. First start ran last in a small field at this track on October 25 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Harvey Wallbanger with 126lbs at $3.80. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 6f, 0.8 len behind So Fear with 123lbs at $13.80. Strips fitter and is sure to measure up. 2nd Pick 1 Shambo Jack Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Michael Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	146	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third race start. First start ran last in a small field at this track on October 25 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Harvey Wallbanger with 126lbs at $3.80. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 6f, 0.8 len behind So Fear with 123lbs at $13.80. Strips fitter and is sure to measure up.
3	Filly by Tarzino making her first appearance. Won a Taupo trial over 5 ½f on March 17. No surprise to see her feature. 3rd Pick 3 Grocer's Girl Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Tony Pike J: Samantha Collett T: Tony Pike	60	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Filly by Tarzino making her first appearance. Won a Taupo trial over 5 ½f on March 17. No surprise to see her feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.