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41 Min Till Start

GB - Newcastle - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
12.5f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
8.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NIFFLER fits the bill of a typical Sir Mark Prescott improver, and he appeals most in an ordinary low-grade handicap. Fleur De Mer is feared most off her slipping mark, with Forever Perfect and Jedhi Knight also worth considering.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
13
Niffler (Ger) silk

By German Derby winner Isfahan and half-brother to a useful one. Sent off at long odds and unsurprisingly achieved little in 3 starts over shorter trips to date. Yard excels with this type, and he's expected to make much more impact over a markedly longer distance on handicap bow.

1st Pick
13

Niffler (Ger)

Jockey: Luke Morris

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

J: Luke Morris

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

61---29%5/2

Analysis

By German Derby winner Isfahan and half-brother to a useful one. Sent off at long odds and unsurprisingly achieved little in 3 starts over shorter trips to date. Yard excels with this type, and he's expected to make much more impact over a markedly longer distance on handicap bow.

3
Fleur De Mer (Ire) silk

Latest success came at this course in September 2023 for previous yard but did go close in a better C&D event last autumn. Made solid start to this year and hasn't enjoyed the run of the race more recently, including in first-time visor at Catterick (2m) last time. One for the shortlist.

2nd Pick
3

Fleur De Mer (Ire)

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

Trainer: Martin Todhunter

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Martin Todhunter

95---25%3/1

Analysis

Latest success came at this course in September 2023 for previous yard but did go close in a better C&D event last autumn. Made solid start to this year and hasn't enjoyed the run of the race more recently, including in first-time visor at Catterick (2m) last time. One for the shortlist.

7
Forever Perfect silk

Opened her account in a 3-y-o handicap at Wolverhampton (1½m) in April. Runner-up twice since (solid form latter of those starts) before a lesser effort following 8 weeks off there last time. She may just be sharper for that and previous form makes her of interest on first start in open company.

3rd Pick
7

Forever Perfect

Jockey: Cieren Fallon

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies

J: Cieren Fallon

T: Rebecca Menzies

100---10%9/1

Analysis

Opened her account in a 3-y-o handicap at Wolverhampton (1½m) in April. Runner-up twice since (solid form latter of those starts) before a lesser effort following 8 weeks off there last time. She may just be sharper for that and previous form makes her of interest on first start in open company.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.