GB - Aintree - Race 4

Thoroughbred

5 Runners

25f

Handicap Chase

Turf

48.0K

VIEW

Verdict

MONBEG GENIUS ran well in some of the top staying handicaps last season and should appreciate this drop in class running in a veterans event for the first time. Hold Your Fort is building a solid record in races of this nature so is second choice.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Fifth in Welsh National and Irish National last season. Also third of 23 in Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival. Returns with yard in good form and any rain would increase his chance. 1st Pick 1 Monbeg Genius (Ire) Jockey: Jonjo O'neill Jr. Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill J: Jonjo O'neill Jr. T: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill	100	-	-	-	24%
Analysis Fifth in Welsh National and Irish National last season. Also third of 23 in Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival. Returns with yard in good form and any rain would increase his chance.
3	Likeable sort who jumped well in front when resuming winning ways at Uttoxeter in July. Not so fluent back from a break when second at Ffos Las 11 days ago but still ran up to his best. 2nd Pick 3 Hold Your Fort (Ire) Jockey: Shane Fenelon Trainer: Debra Hamer J: Shane Fenelon T: Debra Hamer	98	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Likeable sort who jumped well in front when resuming winning ways at Uttoxeter in July. Not so fluent back from a break when second at Ffos Las 11 days ago but still ran up to his best.
4	Scottish National/bet 365 Gold Cup hero in 2022/23. Also an excellent fifth in the 2024 Grand National. Struggled badly in the 2024/25 season but left the impression he would have gone close but for an untimely error at Fakenham in May after 16 months off. Market should reveal expectations. 3rd Pick 4 Kitty's Light Jockey: Jack Tudor Trainer: Christian Williams J: Jack Tudor T: Christian Williams	95	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Scottish National/bet 365 Gold Cup hero in 2022/23. Also an excellent fifth in the 2024 Grand National. Struggled badly in the 2024/25 season but left the impression he would have gone close but for an untimely error at Fakenham in May after 16 months off. Market should reveal expectations.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.