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16 Min Till Start

GB - Carlisle - Race 7

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.9f
Stakes
Turf
Soft
11.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GREEN PURSUIT usually needs some luck but he can benefit from the forecast strong pace and open his account for the yard. Native Instinct has fallen to a handy mark but may have to settle for second once more, while Black Storm can confirm the positive impression created on reappearance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Green Pursuit (Ire) silk

Not long with this yard and proved he retains ability when fifth of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good) 30 days ago, despite not being ideally placed. Drops in grade and is one for the shortlist with his best effort last year having come over C&D.

1st Pick
5

Green Pursuit (Ire)

Jockey: Dale Swift

Trainer: Seb Spencer

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

100---17%5/1

Analysis

Not long with this yard and proved he retains ability when fifth of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good) 30 days ago, despite not being ideally placed. Drops in grade and is one for the shortlist with his best effort last year having come over C&D.

1
Native Instinct silk

Creditable second of 8 in handicap (2/1) at Hamilton (8.3f, good) 15 days ago. Runs from the same mark and isn't taken lightly for a yard who have a good record at this course.

2nd Pick
1

Native Instinct

Jockey: Callum Rodriguez

Trainer: Edward Bethell

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Edward Bethell

98---39%8/5

Analysis

Creditable second of 8 in handicap (2/1) at Hamilton (8.3f, good) 15 days ago. Runs from the same mark and isn't taken lightly for a yard who have a good record at this course.

6
Black Storm (Ire) silk

Had breathing operation and shaped quite well when fourth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Musselburgh (7f, good) on return 19 days ago, faring best of those held up. Has proven largely consistent for this yard and can go well again.

3rd Pick
6

Black Storm (Ire)

Jockey: Daniel Tudhope

Trainer: Katie Scott

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Katie Scott

91---23%7/2

Analysis

Had breathing operation and shaped quite well when fourth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Musselburgh (7f, good) on return 19 days ago, faring best of those held up. Has proven largely consistent for this yard and can go well again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.