NZ - Cromwell - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.4K

VIEW

Verdict

WORDS OF MINE (5) showed talent as a 3-year-old and will be resuming from a spell as a much stronger mare. This trip is well short of her best, but she has not been seen publicly and can get away with a sharp sprint fresh up. If she is not too far off them turning for home, she can have the last say. ELEGANT EXPLOSIVE (9) is a stablemate of the top pick who raced a touch too keenly in front on a heavy track at Riccarton nearly a fortnight ago. Her overall form has been disappointing this season, but this race offers her a great chance to get back on track. Stick with her. GAME DUKE (8) made up a lot of ground when finishing third at Ashburton 4 weeks ago. He needs a genuine tempo, and if the race is run to suit him, then he can run into the money again. TOMMY SHELBY (1) dropped in class and struck a track that was too heavy for him at Riccarton last time out. He is worth another chance in this. TOUGH TIME (2) will be peaking third up, and should be ready to show some form. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic May 29 over 1m, 3 len behind Islebefine with 125lbs at $4.10. First up last campaign second of 10 at Ashburton April 3 over 7f, soft track, 0.5 len behind Winter Blaze carrying 119lbs at $5.10. Look for a bold run. 1st Pick 5 Words Of Mine Jockey: Krishna Mudhoo Trainer: John & Karen Parsons J: Krishna Mudhoo T: John & Karen Parsons	46	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic May 29 over 1m, 3 len behind Islebefine with 125lbs at $4.10. First up last campaign second of 10 at Ashburton April 3 over 7f, soft track, 0.5 len behind Winter Blaze carrying 119lbs at $5.10. Look for a bold run.
9	Last start ran last of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 7f, on heavy track, 13 len behind Akenehi with 123lbs at $15. The race before that 9th of 11 at Ashburton on October 11 over 7f, 9 len behind Town Belt with 126lbs at $4. Nicely placed and can improve. 2nd Pick 9 Elegant Explosive Jockey: Gosen Jogoo Trainer: John & Karen Parsons J: Gosen Jogoo T: John & Karen Parsons	76	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start ran last of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 7f, on heavy track, 13 len behind Akenehi with 123lbs at $15. The race before that 9th of 11 at Ashburton on October 11 over 7f, 9 len behind Town Belt with 126lbs at $4. Nicely placed and can improve.
8	At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Ashburton on October 31 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Epilogue with 122lbs at $7.90. Before that 7th of 13 at Ashburton on October 19 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Winexpress carrying 121lbs at $9. Working up to a win. Will prove tough to stave off. 3rd Pick 8 Game Duke Jockey: Tina Comignaghi Trainer: Len & Lacy Stewart J: Tina Comignaghi T: Len & Lacy Stewart	89	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Ashburton on October 31 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Epilogue with 122lbs at $7.90. Before that 7th of 13 at Ashburton on October 19 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Winexpress carrying 121lbs at $9. Working up to a win. Will prove tough to stave off.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.