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7 Min Till Start

NZ - Cromwell - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
10.1f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
19.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHAKING STEVENS (9) was a beaten favourite on a heavy track at Riccarton nearly 2 weeks ago after racing handy throughout the running. He had won 2 on the bounce at Timaru before that, and with a drop in weight, he could take some pegging back in this. Follow your money. ESS VEE ARE (6) should have finished closer when fourth last time out after getting back and running on too late with a passive ride. He has a senior hoop on this time, and is worth another chance. Each-way. VAMOS (1) has been racing well on heavy tracks, and even with a query on a better surface, he can still run another solid race. Each way. KING OF THE CASTLE (3) will be backing up 5 days after finishing fifth on a slow track at Ascot Park over 7f. The extra 3 ?f is the key here, and on a better surface, he can put his best hoof forward. Watch closely. PAR TEE (4) finished runner-up when resuming from a spell on a heavy track at Riverton nearly 4 weeks ago. She probably needs it wet, but won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Shaking Stevens silk

Most recently 6th of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind Island Hop with 125lbs at $4.70. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len at Phar Lap Racecourse October 9 over 1m in soft going defeating Orsome Dude carrying 131lbs at $2.20. Worth another chance.

1st Pick
9

Shaking Stevens

Jockey: Tina Comignaghi

Trainer: Stephanie Faulkner

J: Tina Comignaghi

T: Stephanie Faulkner

91---19%9/2

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind Island Hop with 125lbs at $4.70. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len at Phar Lap Racecourse October 9 over 1m in soft going defeating Orsome Dude carrying 131lbs at $2.20. Worth another chance.

6
Ess Vee Are silk

Most recently 4th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on November 19 over 1m, 2.5 len behind California Gold with 128lbs at $13.50. Before that did the work up front then tired second last of 9 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Sunset Boulevard carrying 137lbs at $26.70. Ridden last time by a claiming apprentice, replaced for this assignment by a senior rider.

2nd Pick
6

Ess Vee Are

Jockey: Brandon May

Trainer: Andrew Carston

J: Brandon May

T: Andrew Carston

68---6%16/1

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on November 19 over 1m, 2.5 len behind California Gold with 128lbs at $13.50. Before that did the work up front then tired second last of 9 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Sunset Boulevard carrying 137lbs at $26.70. Ridden last time by a claiming apprentice, replaced for this assignment by a senior rider.

1
Vamos silk

Worth plenty of thought.

3rd Pick
1

Vamos

Jockey: Kendra Bakker

Trainer: Kelvin Tyler

J: Kendra Bakker

T: Kelvin Tyler

72---7%15/1

Analysis

Worth plenty of thought.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.