NZ - Cromwell - Race 6

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

6.1f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.4K

VIEW

Verdict

WREN (11) has raced her way back into form with a couple of big efforts recently at Riccarton. She will find this company a lot more to her liking, and her next win is not far away. SUPER SINCERE (9) was unsuited by a wet track at Riccarton nearly a fortnight ago, and she will don the blinkers for the first time. If she can find some of her earlier form, then she becomes a real each-way threat. REPROBATE (4) needed his spell, and he will be even stronger this season. He comes to hand quickly, and the market moves will be the best guide. DRAGON BISCUIT (1) has changed stables since having an excuse at Ruakaka in late June. His best is certainly good enough to take out a race like this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	At the latest run ran last of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Charm Manhattan with 120lbs at $10.30. The race before that won by a neck at Ashburton October 31 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Empress Suiko with 120lbs at $11.90. Can take this out. 1st Pick 8 Serendipitous Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Stephanie Faulkner J: Non Runner T: Stephanie Faulkner	88	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Charm Manhattan with 120lbs at $10.30. The race before that won by a neck at Ashburton October 31 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Empress Suiko with 120lbs at $11.90. Can take this out.
11	Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 6f, on heavy track, neck behind Pete's Pride with 120lbs at $14.50. The race before that 4th of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Platinum Pantheon with 120lbs at $51.50. Further improvement expected. 2nd Pick 11 Wren Jockey: Brandon May Trainer: Nayton Mitchell J: Brandon May T: Nayton Mitchell	149	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 6f, on heavy track, neck behind Pete's Pride with 120lbs at $14.50. The race before that 4th of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Platinum Pantheon with 120lbs at $51.50. Further improvement expected.
9	At the latest run 13th of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Pete's Pride with 125lbs at $24.40. The start before that second last of 13 at Riccarton Park on October 25 over 6f, 4 len behind Maybe Diva with 126lbs at $26.10. Nicely placed and can improve. 3rd Pick 9 Super Sincere Jockey: Kylie Williams Trainer: Andrew Carston J: Kylie Williams T: Andrew Carston	88	-	-	-	20%
Analysis At the latest run 13th of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Pete's Pride with 125lbs at $24.40. The start before that second last of 13 at Riccarton Park on October 25 over 6f, 4 len behind Maybe Diva with 126lbs at $26.10. Nicely placed and can improve.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.