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Resulted

GB - Bangor-on-Dee - Race 3

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
24.1f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Good (Good to Soft in places)
30.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

It could be worth giving TAMARIND BAY another chance despite the presence of Dan Skelton's thriving Thickthorn Tom, who hasn't always looked the heartiest. Mickey Bowen's charge would probably have made it 3-3 over fences if standing up at Perth and can rate higher.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Tamarind Bay (Ire) silk

Different model since the switch to fences, making it 2 from 2 with ease in a small-field event at Uttoxeter (2½m) in late June. Shaped as if still ahead of his mark and looking the likeliest winner when unseating at Perth last time. One of the main players up in trip for in-form stable.

1st Pick
2

Tamarind Bay (Ire)

Jockey: James Bowen

Trainer: Mickey Bowen

J: James Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

100---56%

Analysis

Different model since the switch to fences, making it 2 from 2 with ease in a small-field event at Uttoxeter (2½m) in late June. Shaped as if still ahead of his mark and looking the likeliest winner when unseating at Perth last time. One of the main players up in trip for in-form stable.

6
Thickthorn Tom (Ire) silk

Much improved over fences this season, making it 4 wins from his last 5 starts when jumping soundly and cruising clear at Newton Abbot (21f) last week. Return to 3m could expose any weak-finishing traits but he'll rightly be popular bidding for a 4-timer under a penalty.

2nd Pick
6

Thickthorn Tom (Ire)

Jockey: Harry Skelton

Trainer: Dan Skelton

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

98---40%

Analysis

Much improved over fences this season, making it 4 wins from his last 5 starts when jumping soundly and cruising clear at Newton Abbot (21f) last week. Return to 3m could expose any weak-finishing traits but he'll rightly be popular bidding for a 4-timer under a penalty.

4
Regal Renaissance silk

Completed a small-field hat-trick (first leg for Henry Daly) when seeing off 2 rivals at Market Rasen (21f, good) in July. Lost little caste in defeat in search of 4-timer when third at Worcester (23f) 6 weeks ago and can make her presence felt with that form working out.

3rd Pick
4

Regal Renaissance

Jockey: Ben Jones

Trainer: Jack Jones

J: Ben Jones

T: Jack Jones

97---11%

Scratched

Analysis

Completed a small-field hat-trick (first leg for Henry Daly) when seeing off 2 rivals at Market Rasen (21f, good) in July. Lost little caste in defeat in search of 4-timer when third at Worcester (23f) 6 weeks ago and can make her presence felt with that form working out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.