GB - Bangor-on-Dee - Race 1

Thoroughbred

5 Runners

19.6f

Maiden Hurdle

Turf

Good (Good to Soft in places)

13.5K

VIEW

Verdict

HOE JOLY SMOKE has never really been one for maximum faith but this looks a good piece of placing by his leading stable back hurdling on return from a break. Iamyouare should ensure the selection is kept honest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Dual chase winner who was a good third in Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November but he's not the most robust and, not for the first time, stopped alarmingly quick when distant second at Newton Abbot (3¼m, good to soft) in May. Record fresh a plus ahead of first hurdles start since 2023. 1st Pick 1 Hoe Joly Smoke Jockey: Harry Skelton Trainer: Dan Skelton J: Harry Skelton T: Dan Skelton	100	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Dual chase winner who was a good third in Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November but he's not the most robust and, not for the first time, stopped alarmingly quick when distant second at Newton Abbot (3¼m, good to soft) in May. Record fresh a plus ahead of first hurdles start since 2023.
3	Benefited no end from the step back up in trip when bolting up in 8-runner handicap at Hereford (2½m, good) in April. Got no further than the first at Worcester in July but right back on her game when second at Uttoxeter. Obvious threat to Hoe Joly Smoke back in a novice. 2nd Pick 3 Iamyouare (Ire) Jockey: Harry Brown Trainer: Donald Mccain J: Harry Brown T: Donald Mccain	95	-	-	-	84%
Analysis Benefited no end from the step back up in trip when bolting up in 8-runner handicap at Hereford (2½m, good) in April. Got no further than the first at Worcester in July but right back on her game when second at Uttoxeter. Obvious threat to Hoe Joly Smoke back in a novice.
2	A fair and lightly-raced maiden on Flat in the first half of 2024. Returned from 17 months off and displayed aptitude for hurdling when third of 9 at Sedgefield in December but well held at Wetherby 3 weeks later and off since. Up in trip. 3rd Pick 2 Sovereignlightcafe Jockey: Patrick Wadge Trainer: Michael & David Easterby J: Patrick Wadge T: Michael & David Easterby	79	-	-	-	5%
Analysis A fair and lightly-raced maiden on Flat in the first half of 2024. Returned from 17 months off and displayed aptitude for hurdling when third of 9 at Sedgefield in December but well held at Wetherby 3 weeks later and off since. Up in trip.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.