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3:00 PM

GB - Bath - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
14f
Handicap
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
9.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JUST ADAIR is fully exposed by now but is more reliable than most at this level and can score for the first time this year. Basilette and Fram Castle also arrive on the back of positive efforts and make most appeal as alternatives.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Just Adair silk

Won over 11.5f at Windsor on his first 2 starts in handicaps last season and runner-up twice to begin the current campaign. Respectable 2½ lengths sixth of 9 at Ffos Las 26 days ago and he remains on a competitive mark stepping up in trip in first-time cheekpieces.

1st Pick
3

Just Adair

Jockey: Pat Cosgrave

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

100---23%7/2

Analysis

Won over 11.5f at Windsor on his first 2 starts in handicaps last season and runner-up twice to begin the current campaign. Respectable 2½ lengths sixth of 9 at Ffos Las 26 days ago and he remains on a competitive mark stepping up in trip in first-time cheekpieces.

2
Basilette (Ire) silk

Not always the heartiest finish but won on the Flat in May and enhanced her good record over hurdles at Stratford in July. Has remained in good form across both codes since, most recently when coming from a long way back when second of 6 in handicap at Salisbury (1¾m, good to soft) 12 days ago.

2nd Pick
2

Basilette (Ire)

Jockey: George Downing

Trainer: Seamus Mullins

J: George Downing

T: Seamus Mullins

97---27%11/4

Analysis

Not always the heartiest finish but won on the Flat in May and enhanced her good record over hurdles at Stratford in July. Has remained in good form across both codes since, most recently when coming from a long way back when second of 6 in handicap at Salisbury (1¾m, good to soft) 12 days ago.

4
Fram Castle (Ire) silk

Ended 2025 out of form for Dominic Ffrench Davis but left his yard debut/return well behind back up in trip when just failing at Lingfield (firm) in July and backed that up with another good third in a 6-runner Newmarket handicap (1¾m, good to firm) 25 days ago, albeit taking time to get going.

3rd Pick
4

Fram Castle (Ire)

Jockey: Alexandra Egan

Trainer: Michael Wigham

J: Alexandra Egan

T: Michael Wigham

97---25%3/1

Analysis

Ended 2025 out of form for Dominic Ffrench Davis but left his yard debut/return well behind back up in trip when just failing at Lingfield (firm) in July and backed that up with another good third in a 6-runner Newmarket handicap (1¾m, good to firm) 25 days ago, albeit taking time to get going.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.