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9 Min Till Start

GB - Ayr - Race 7

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
20.5f
Handicap Hurdle
Turf
Soft (Good to Soft in places)
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TRAVIS WHEATLEY was an impressive winner from the front at Newcastle at the end of last month and he looks the one beat if proving as effective over this longer trip. Guchen arrives seeking a hat-trick under Aamilah Aswat and is shortlisted, alongside the well-treated Balboa.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Travis Wheatley (Ire) silk

Edged down the weights after joining the upwardly-mobile Adam Nicol yard before getting off the mark in fine style from the front in a 13-runner handicap hurdle (17f, good) at Newcastle 17 days ago. Up 9 lb but had plenty in hand there and should go well again.

1st Pick
9

Travis Wheatley (Ire)

Jockey: Rian Corcoran

Trainer: Adam Nicol

J: Rian Corcoran

T: Adam Nicol

97---12%8/1

Analysis

Edged down the weights after joining the upwardly-mobile Adam Nicol yard before getting off the mark in fine style from the front in a 13-runner handicap hurdle (17f, good) at Newcastle 17 days ago. Up 9 lb but had plenty in hand there and should go well again.

1
Guchen (Fr) silk

Improved when off the mark at Kempton (21f) at the start of February and advanced his form even further sporting a first-time tongue strap when recording a 19-length victory in a 13-runner event at Newbury (20.5f) later that month. Respected from 10 lb higher.

2nd Pick
1

Guchen (Fr)

Jockey: Aamilah Aswat

Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls

J: Aamilah Aswat

T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls

98---23%7/2

Analysis

Improved when off the mark at Kempton (21f) at the start of February and advanced his form even further sporting a first-time tongue strap when recording a 19-length victory in a 13-runner event at Newbury (20.5f) later that month. Respected from 10 lb higher.

8
Balboa silk

Been a long time since his sole win but has proved more competitive from reduced marks of late, quickly returning to form after a bit of a blip when third at Wincanton (24.7f, good) 25 days ago. Equally capable over this trip and he should be in the mix again.

3rd Pick
8

Balboa

Jockey: Mr Jack Stenhouse

Trainer: Seamus Mullins

J: Mr Jack Stenhouse

T: Seamus Mullins

98---20%4/1

Analysis

Been a long time since his sole win but has proved more competitive from reduced marks of late, quickly returning to form after a bit of a blip when third at Wincanton (24.7f, good) 25 days ago. Equally capable over this trip and he should be in the mix again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.