GB - Ayr - Race 6

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Handicap

Turf

Heavy (Soft in places)

13.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Course winner ASHEN was clear of the rest when a good second at Hamilton last week and should appreciate the return to this longer trip. He gets the nod. Recent Hamilton scorer Belsito is feared most, whilst market strength behind the lightly-raced Big Harry again could prove significant.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Not long with present stable when opening account at this course (7f) in May and largely held his form well since, producing another creditable effort when second of 6 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, soft) 8 days ago. Shortlist material. 1st Pick 8 Ashen (Ire) Jockey: Paul Mulrennan Trainer: Jim Goldie J: Paul Mulrennan T: Jim Goldie	96	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Not long with present stable when opening account at this course (7f) in May and largely held his form well since, producing another creditable effort when second of 6 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, soft) 8 days ago. Shortlist material.
1	Posted career best when resuming winning ways in 8-runner handicap at Hamilton (6f, soft, 7/1) 8 days ago, driven out. Carries 5-lb penalty for that success but must enter calculations. 2nd Pick 1 Belsito (Ger) Jockey: Tom Eaves Trainer: Kevin Ryan J: Tom Eaves T: Kevin Ryan	97	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Posted career best when resuming winning ways in 8-runner handicap at Hamilton (6f, soft, 7/1) 8 days ago, driven out. Carries 5-lb penalty for that success but must enter calculations.
3	Got better with each run at 2 yrs and ran out an easy winner of a heavy-ground 6f Doncaster novice on final start from Thunder Call (now rated 109). Disappointed on sole start in Kempton handicap this season (well backed, far too free) but he remains low mileage back from nearly 4 months off. 3rd Pick 3 Big Harry Jockey: Shane Gray Trainer: William Stone J: Shane Gray T: William Stone	100	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Got better with each run at 2 yrs and ran out an easy winner of a heavy-ground 6f Doncaster novice on final start from Thunder Call (now rated 109). Disappointed on sole start in Kempton handicap this season (well backed, far too free) but he remains low mileage back from nearly 4 months off.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.