GB - Ayr - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Handicap

Turf

Soft (Good to Soft in places)

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

HAVANA TOUCH has been in the form of his life on the all-weather recently. He's the one to beat if translating that to turf at the fourth time of asking, with improving 3-y-o Tarmonbarry Kid likely to prove a serious danger. Orangesandlemons, Second Fiddle and Runninsonofagun are others to consider in a competitive handicap.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	In-form 5-y-o who wasn't beaten far on just his third turf start at Ripon in June. Subsequently notched a fourth all-weather win in this grade at Kempton and confirmed he's better than ever when runner-up at Lingfield last time. Could be poised to land a first victory on this surface. 1st Pick 5 Havana Touch Jockey: M. P. Sheehy Trainer: John Butler J: M. P. Sheehy T: John Butler	100	-	-	-	7%
Analysis In-form 5-y-o who wasn't beaten far on just his third turf start at Ripon in June. Subsequently notched a fourth all-weather win in this grade at Kempton and confirmed he's better than ever when runner-up at Lingfield last time. Could be poised to land a first victory on this surface.
8	Lightly-raced 3-y-o who improved a chunk make it 2 wins in 3 starts at Beverley (8.5f, heavy) last time, when clearly at home on the ground (has also won on good). Still early days in handicaps and a 4-lb rise hardly looks insurmountable. 2nd Pick 8 Tarmonbarry Kid (Ire) Jockey: Oisin James Orr Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey J: Oisin James Orr T: Richard & Peter Fahey	99	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Lightly-raced 3-y-o who improved a chunk make it 2 wins in 3 starts at Beverley (8.5f, heavy) last time, when clearly at home on the ground (has also won on good). Still early days in handicaps and a 4-lb rise hardly looks insurmountable.
3	Doubled her tally in much better company at Nottingham last October. Hasn't gone on from her reappearance this year, but booking of Daniel Tudhope catches the eye on return from 3-month absence (has gone well fresh). 3rd Pick 3 Orangesandlemons Jockey: Daniel Tudhope Trainer: Edward Bethell J: Daniel Tudhope T: Edward Bethell	98	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Doubled her tally in much better company at Nottingham last October. Hasn't gone on from her reappearance this year, but booking of Daniel Tudhope catches the eye on return from 3-month absence (has gone well fresh).

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.