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5:40 PM

GB - Ayr - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7.2f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Soft (Good in places)
12.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NOVAK is well treated and this 7f trip should suit better than the 6f he tackled when third at Hamilton 9 days ago, where he'd have gone closer but for missing the break. Black Storm was narrowly denied in a higher grade at Musselburgh last time and is a threat if settling better, while course winner Ashen can make his presence felt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Novak silk

In good form, looking well treated when second of 9 over C&D 30 days ago and he would have gone close but for missing the break when third of 6 in a handicap at Hamilton over 6f last time. Twice a winner at this track and looks one to take seriously back up to 7f.

1st Pick
8

Novak

Jockey: Lauren Young

Trainer: Iain Jardine

J: Lauren Young

T: Iain Jardine

99---12%8/1

Analysis

In good form, looking well treated when second of 9 over C&D 30 days ago and he would have gone close but for missing the break when third of 6 in a handicap at Hamilton over 6f last time. Twice a winner at this track and looks one to take seriously back up to 7f.

1
Black Storm (Ire) silk

Returned from 7-month absence in good form, making the frame twice before excellent second of 9 in a higher-grade handicap at Musselburgh 13 days ago, nailed late on after racing freely. Strong claims if settling better here.

2nd Pick
1

Black Storm (Ire)

Jockey: Ryan Sexton

Trainer: Katie Scott

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Katie Scott

100---17%5/1

Analysis

Returned from 7-month absence in good form, making the frame twice before excellent second of 9 in a higher-grade handicap at Musselburgh 13 days ago, nailed late on after racing freely. Strong claims if settling better here.

5
Ashen (Ire) silk

Not long with this yard and got off the mark over C&D in May, beating 6 rivals. Up 4 lb for that success but he's in the right hands to win more races this year.

3rd Pick
5

Ashen (Ire)

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

Trainer: Jim Goldie

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

96---20%4/1

Analysis

Not long with this yard and got off the mark over C&D in May, beating 6 rivals. Up 4 lb for that success but he's in the right hands to win more races this year.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.