GB - Ayr - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Handicap

Turf

Heavy (Soft in places)

11.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Sole 3-y-o LEOPARDS ROCK can trump his much more exposed rivals with a return to further likely to bring more improvement. Empirestateofmind was only just denied the follow up at Hamilton 9 days ago so is feared most ahead of Arkenstaar, who arrives fresh after a light campaign.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Similar form first 4 starts but showed some improvement on his second start in a handicap when fourth at Carlisle 3 weeks ago, shaping as if a return to this trip will suit. By far the least exposed here (sole 3-y-o). 1st Pick 6 Leopards Rock Jockey: C. Horgan Trainer: Edward Bethell J: C. Horgan T: Edward Bethell	95	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Similar form first 4 starts but showed some improvement on his second start in a handicap when fourth at Carlisle 3 weeks ago, shaping as if a return to this trip will suit. By far the least exposed here (sole 3-y-o).
2	Veteran who won twice last season, including off a much higher mark, and cashed in on drop in grade over C&D earlier this month. Only just denied at Hamilton 2 days later and must be considered in current mood. 2nd Pick 2 Empirestateofmind (Ire) Jockey: Jack Callan Trainer: John & Sean Quinn J: Jack Callan T: John & Sean Quinn	100	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Veteran who won twice last season, including off a much higher mark, and cashed in on drop in grade over C&D earlier this month. Only just denied at Hamilton 2 days later and must be considered in current mood.
4	Thrived last autumn when a 3-time 1m winner. Ran well when third at Hamilton on return in May but below par both starts since, though shaping as if needing Carlisle run 3 weeks ago after 4 months off. Has now dipped below his last winning mark. 3rd Pick 4 Arkenstaar Jockey: Rhys Elliott Trainer: Michael Dods J: Rhys Elliott T: Michael Dods	95	-	-	-	3%
Analysis Thrived last autumn when a 3-time 1m winner. Ran well when third at Hamilton on return in May but below par both starts since, though shaping as if needing Carlisle run 3 weeks ago after 4 months off. Has now dipped below his last winning mark.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.