NZ - Awapuni - Race 7

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Unknown

Synthetic

10.0K

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Verdict

SALTBURN (3) was kept out of trouble in front and proved to be too strong when scoring an overdue maiden win at Cambridge just over 2 weeks ago. The drop back to 7f will suit him, and now that the penny has dropped, we expect him to go right on with the job. DAZZ (1) delivered as the favourite fresh up from a spell here, and then was a fair sixth last time out in a similar field after getting too far back on a slow pace. He slides down in class, and with the right tempo, he can bounce straight back into the top 3. Follow your money. MAROTIRI MARSTA (2) is a handy veteran holding his form well this prep, following up his upset fresh win here with another solid effort for third on this track 13 days ago. Stick with him. SO WE GO (5) has found some form again since being tried on this surface, and he was only beaten by a head here last time out in a similar field. Each way. CROIX DE GUERRE (7) resumes from a spell, and if he doesn't need the run, then he can give this a big shake.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start favourite, won by 1.4 len at Cambridge Synthetic July 29 over 7 ¾f defeating Platinum Patch with 127lbs at $2.60. Before that couldn't go on with it, ran last of 8 at Cambridge Synthetic on July 22 over 1 ¼m, 17 len behind Pine Leaf carrying 126lbs at $7.20. Sure to measure up again. 1st Pick 3 Saltburn Jockey: Jonathan Riddell Trainer: Josh King & Maija Vance J: Jonathan Riddell T: Josh King & Maija Vance	132	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start favourite, won by 1.4 len at Cambridge Synthetic July 29 over 7 ¾f defeating Platinum Patch with 127lbs at $2.60. Before that couldn't go on with it, ran last of 8 at Cambridge Synthetic on July 22 over 1 ¼m, 17 len behind Pine Leaf carrying 126lbs at $7.20. Sure to measure up again.
1	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up favourite, won by 2.75 len at this track July 3 over 7f defeating Anaroa with 119lbs at $2.90. Last start 5th of 7 at this track on July 17 over 7f, 6 len behind Dancing Shadow carrying 123lbs at $2.50. Handy strike-rate and is a key chance. 2nd Pick 1 Dazz Jockey: Rohan Mudhoo Trainer: Kevin & Stephen Gray J: Rohan Mudhoo T: Kevin & Stephen Gray	164	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up favourite, won by 2.75 len at this track July 3 over 7f defeating Anaroa with 119lbs at $2.90. Last start 5th of 7 at this track on July 17 over 7f, 6 len behind Dancing Shadow carrying 123lbs at $2.50. Handy strike-rate and is a key chance.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by 1.0 len at this track July 17 over 5f defeating Falcrests Belle carrying 119lbs at $12.70. Last start 3rd of 8 at this track on July 31 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Chart The Stars with 129lbs at $6.90. Worth following up. 3rd Pick 2 Marotiri Marsta Jockey: Sarah Macnab Trainer: Buddy Lammas J: Sarah Macnab T: Buddy Lammas	139	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by 1.0 len at this track July 17 over 5f defeating Falcrests Belle carrying 119lbs at $12.70. Last start 3rd of 8 at this track on July 31 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Chart The Stars with 129lbs at $6.90. Worth following up.

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