AU2 - Redcliffe - Race 4

Harness

9 Runners

8.8f

Unknown

Synthetic

3.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ABSOLUTELY STOKED (8) drew wide last start and was never a genuine threat, beaten 25 metres into eighth at Albion Park over 1 5/16m. Primary contender if anywhere near her best. VANITY BAY (3) has been racing well of late. Finished fifth at his latest appearance over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 9 metres. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Meets a comparable field and he is a strong winning hope. ONE CHAIN ROAD (4) is on the radar after his last-start sixth over 1 ¼m here a week ago. Top-three contender on best form. HEAVENS BABY (2) is next best and gets every chance from a favourable draw.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Last start 8th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after racing wide at Albion Park beaten 25 m by Hes Regal (2:36.10) in NR up to 40 on October 16 at $7. The run before 10th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at Albion Park, beaten 25 m by Little Surfer Girl (2:37.90) in NR 41 to 46 on October 2 at $9. Expecting a much better run this time. 1st Pick 8 Absolutely Stoked Jockey: Gary Bond Trainer: Gary Gerrard J: Gary Bond T: Gary Gerrard	77	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Last start 8th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after racing wide at Albion Park beaten 25 m by Hes Regal (2:36.10) in NR up to 40 on October 16 at $7. The run before 10th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at Albion Park, beaten 25 m by Little Surfer Girl (2:37.90) in NR 41 to 46 on October 2 at $9. Expecting a much better run this time.
3	Last start 5th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 9 m by Highway Writer (2:15.40) in NR up to 39 on October 17 at $6.50. Before that, 4th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 12 m by Tackas Last Dance (2:13.60) in NR up to 40 on October 8 at $101. Coming good it seems so worth following up. 2nd Pick 3 Vanity Bay Jockey: Paige Bevan Trainer: D R Pollock J: Paige Bevan T: D R Pollock	74	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 5th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 9 m by Highway Writer (2:15.40) in NR up to 39 on October 17 at $6.50. Before that, 4th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 12 m by Tackas Last Dance (2:13.60) in NR up to 40 on October 8 at $101. Coming good it seems so worth following up.
4	Last start 6th (Sr1) over 1 ¼m at this track beaten 6 m by Shadys Delight (2:34.90) in NR 40 to 44 on October 17 at $9.50. The start before 9th (Fr4) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park beaten 14 m by Little Surfer Girl (2:37.90) in NR 41 to 46 on October 2 at $34. Worth another chance. Heading the right way and should play a big role. 3rd Pick 4 One Chain Road Jockey: Brendan Barnes Trainer: M J Nutley J: Brendan Barnes T: M J Nutley	72	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start 6th (Sr1) over 1 ¼m at this track beaten 6 m by Shadys Delight (2:34.90) in NR 40 to 44 on October 17 at $9.50. The start before 9th (Fr4) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park beaten 14 m by Little Surfer Girl (2:37.90) in NR 41 to 46 on October 2 at $34. Worth another chance. Heading the right way and should play a big role.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.