AU2 - Newcastle - Race 8

Harness

10 Runners

Unknown

Synthetic

4.6K

VIEW

Verdict

BAT MATSON (9) comes through the Regional Championships where he was fifth from a wide draw in the final after a third in the heats, a result that gave him three placings in a row at this venue. Enjoys a class drop and draws for a trail so looks a strong chance if he gets the gaps. MCCRIKEY (2) came from a wider barrier for third the last time he raced here last month. Finished third at his most recent outing at Tamworth and has the benefit of another good draw. CONSTANTINA (8) has come from the back row in all four outings so far this campaign and while she starts from a wide barrier she'll be race fit now and goes well at this circuit and distance. NEXT TO ME (1) was a winner from wider here last month and should not have any excuses from the favourable draw.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Last start was well back in the run when 5th (Fr7) over 1 ¼m at this track was 9th-16.6 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Grosso Naso (2:26.80) in NR up to 70 on December 5 at $41. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 ¼m at this track was 6th-8.14 at the bell, beaten 3 m by Princess Mickayla (2:27.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 70 on November 21 at $6. This looks winnable. 1st Pick 9 Bat Matson Jockey: Chloe Formosa Trainer: Michael Formosa J: Chloe Formosa T: Michael Formosa	77	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Last start was well back in the run when 5th (Fr7) over 1 ¼m at this track was 9th-16.6 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Grosso Naso (2:26.80) in NR up to 70 on December 5 at $41. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 ¼m at this track was 6th-8.14 at the bell, beaten 3 m by Princess Mickayla (2:27.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 70 on November 21 at $6. This looks winnable.
2	Improved last start with a good run when 3rd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at Tamworth was 3rd-8.2 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Arnies Army (1:55.90) in NR up to 58 on December 11 at $5. From a good draw may prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 2 Mccrikey Jockey: Michael Formosa Trainer: Michael Formosa J: Michael Formosa T: Michael Formosa	75	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Improved last start with a good run when 3rd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at Tamworth was 3rd-8.2 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Arnies Army (1:55.90) in NR up to 58 on December 11 at $5. From a good draw may prove hard to beat.
8	Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 5th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith, at the bell was 4th-4.93 beaten 8 m by Crunchie Diva (2:05.70) in NR up to 58 on December 11 at $7. The start before 7th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith, at the bell was 8th-12.73 beaten 13 m by Our Uncle Jim (2:02.90) in NR up to 62 on December 4 at $8. Draws wide but should be peaking now. 3rd Pick 8 Constantina Jockey: Brian Portelli Trainer: Brian Portelli J: Brian Portelli T: Brian Portelli	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 5th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith, at the bell was 4th-4.93 beaten 8 m by Crunchie Diva (2:05.70) in NR up to 58 on December 11 at $7. The start before 7th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith, at the bell was 8th-12.73 beaten 13 m by Our Uncle Jim (2:02.90) in NR up to 62 on December 4 at $8. Draws wide but should be peaking now.

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