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6:16 AM

AU2 - Tamworth - Race 7

Harness
8 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RACING PAULA (5) has been competitive of late and kept the ball rolling last time when 6 metres from the winner in fourth in a higher-graded race at this circuit and distance. Placed twice in a row in similar company to this prior. Big chance. MISTER CHEESE (8) had a tough draw last start so that result can be overlooked. Won twice in a row over this distance prior, one of them at this venue. Draws on the back row but with even luck he is good enough to put himself back in the winners' stall. CARRAMAR OLAM (4) is another coming back in grade and owns decent statistics at both the venue and the distance. The ace draw can spark improvement from IMXTRASPECIAL (1).
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Racing Paula silk

Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1m after showing early speed at this track was 5th-6.55 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Three Rivers (1:55.50) in 4yo+ NR up to 70 on February 19 at $14. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Sr4) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 10th-18.6 beaten 10 m by Mister Cheese (1:55.90) in NR up to 55 on February 5 at $6. Nicely placed to take this out.

1st Pick
5

Racing Paula

Jockey: Caitlin Mcelhinney

Trainer: Tom Ison

J: Caitlin Mcelhinney

T: Tom Ison

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1m after showing early speed at this track was 5th-6.55 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Three Rivers (1:55.50) in 4yo+ NR up to 70 on February 19 at $14. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Sr4) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 10th-18.6 beaten 10 m by Mister Cheese (1:55.90) in NR up to 55 on February 5 at $6. Nicely placed to take this out.

8
Mister Cheese silk

Failed to impress last start, was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr7) over 1m after showing early speed and racing wide at Newcastle was 10th-20.35 at the bell, beaten 19 m by Colossal Hope (1:52.30) in NR up to 58 on February 20 at $10. Showed ability the race before when he won by 1.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr5) at Newcastle (1:53.70) beating Rockin Bull in NR 51 to 54 on February 9 at $1.40 at the bell was leading 1.98. Has the right credentials to take this out.

2nd Pick
8

Mister Cheese

Jockey: Tom Ison

Trainer: Tom Ison

J: Tom Ison

T: Tom Ison

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr7) over 1m after showing early speed and racing wide at Newcastle was 10th-20.35 at the bell, beaten 19 m by Colossal Hope (1:52.30) in NR up to 58 on February 20 at $10. Showed ability the race before when he won by 1.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr5) at Newcastle (1:53.70) beating Rockin Bull in NR 51 to 54 on February 9 at $1.40 at the bell was leading 1.98. Has the right credentials to take this out.

4
Carramar Olam silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 7th (Fr5) over 1m after showing early speed and racing wide at this track was 4th-5.3 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Three Rivers (1:55.50) in 4yo+ NR up to 70 on February 19 at $4.40. The run before 5th (Sr2) over 1 ³/16m at this track, at the bell was 6th-7.17 beaten 5.5 m by Ashleys Blue Chip (2:29.00) in NR 61 to 70 on February 5 at $5. Good enough to turn things around.

3rd Pick
4

Carramar Olam

Jockey: Cooper Griffiths

Trainer: Anthony Missen

J: Cooper Griffiths

T: Anthony Missen

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 7th (Fr5) over 1m after showing early speed and racing wide at this track was 4th-5.3 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Three Rivers (1:55.50) in 4yo+ NR up to 70 on February 19 at $4.40. The run before 5th (Sr2) over 1 ³/16m at this track, at the bell was 6th-7.17 beaten 5.5 m by Ashleys Blue Chip (2:29.00) in NR 61 to 70 on February 5 at $5. Good enough to turn things around.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.