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6:03 AM

AU2 - Tamworth - Race 6

Harness
10 Runners
9.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LINE OF COURAGE (1) brings some decent form from Newcastle, beaten only 4m into third two back then tackling a higher-graded race than this when fourth from this barrier last week. This looks a suitable assignment and she should get her chance from the inside draw. BELLRIVERGIRL (2) is in good form having put together a series of top-four finishes. Drew a little wider and raced parked when third at her latest appearance at this venue, beaten 4.4 metres. Should enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position and looks close to a win as does ADRENALINE RUSH (10) who may need some luck from the back row but only missed by a neck when second here last week. WHENS LUNCH (9) last appeared when third at this venue 11 weeks ago. Readied with two trials so keep safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Line Of Courage silk

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle, at the bell was 5th-8.42 beaten 12 m by Mira Domina (1:56.50) in 2yo NR up to 55 on November 14 at $2.50. Before that, a good run despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr4) over 1m at Newcastle, at the bell was 8th-15.49 beaten 4 m by Cala Serena (1:57.40) in 2yo MAIDEN on November 7 at $5.50. Chief contender.

1st Pick
1

Line Of Courage

Jockey: Grace Panella

Trainer: P E Payne

J: Grace Panella

T: P E Payne

77---43%11/8

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle, at the bell was 5th-8.42 beaten 12 m by Mira Domina (1:56.50) in 2yo NR up to 55 on November 14 at $2.50. Before that, a good run despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr4) over 1m at Newcastle, at the bell was 8th-15.49 beaten 4 m by Cala Serena (1:57.40) in 2yo MAIDEN on November 7 at $5.50. Chief contender.

2
Bellrivergirl silk

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4.5 m third behind Eyes Been Patient at this track over 1m NR up to 33 last start. Before that was beaten 4 metres fourth at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in NR up to 48 on November 7. Winning chance.

2nd Pick
2

Bellrivergirl

Jockey: C R Sutherland

Trainer: Chris Sutherland

J: C R Sutherland

T: Chris Sutherland

74---19%9/2

Analysis

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4.5 m third behind Eyes Been Patient at this track over 1m NR up to 33 last start. Before that was beaten 4 metres fourth at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in NR up to 48 on November 7. Winning chance.

10
Adrenaline Rush silk

Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing fourth behind Nifty Studleigh at this track over 1 ³/16m in a NR up to 47 on October 30 at $12. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Nifty Studleigh at this track over 1 ³/16m in a NR up to 53 on November 13 at $6.50. Plenty to like about her prospects.

3rd Pick
10

Adrenaline Rush

Jockey: Mollly Ison

Trainer: Anthony Varga

J: Mollly Ison

T: Anthony Varga

72---14%13/2

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing fourth behind Nifty Studleigh at this track over 1 ³/16m in a NR up to 47 on October 30 at $12. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Nifty Studleigh at this track over 1 ³/16m in a NR up to 53 on November 13 at $6.50. Plenty to like about her prospects.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.