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6:06 AM

AU2 - Penrith - Race 8

Harness
10 Runners
8.5f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DOWN WARD DOG (7) came from wider on this row here last week and worked home well to finish only 2 metres from the winner. Won easily the previous time he raced at this venue. Draws for a trail and is a primary contender if he gets the gaps. TIL HEAVENS ROCKN (9) goes back to the second line but is building towards a win having placed in two of his last three attempts at this circuit and distance, last time leading and fighting on well to be beaten only a neck. FLO RYDA (10) draws wide on the back row but is going well with a series of top-two finishes including an easy Bankstown win and a second from a similar barrier to this. MISTER MANAGER (3) hasn't been far rom the placegetters of late and draws well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Down Ward Dog silk

Last start 4th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 5th-7.25 at the bell, beaten 2 m by Toolijooa Beach (2:05.70) in NR up to 58 on March 26 at $5.50. Before that, 6th (Fr8) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 4th-7.76 beaten 12 m by Can Be A Ruebe (1:52.00) in NR up to 64 on March 10 at $21. Capable of a strong showing.

1st Pick
7

Down Ward Dog

Jockey: Jye Coney

Trainer: Luke Mccarthy

J: Jye Coney

T: Luke Mccarthy

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 5th-7.25 at the bell, beaten 2 m by Toolijooa Beach (2:05.70) in NR up to 58 on March 26 at $5.50. Before that, 6th (Fr8) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 4th-7.76 beaten 12 m by Can Be A Ruebe (1:52.00) in NR up to 64 on March 10 at $21. Capable of a strong showing.

9
Til Heavens Rockn silk

Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Heavenly Reason at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 57 on March 20 at $13. Then a handy effort when a close third after showing early speed, behind Toolijooa Beach at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 58 on March 26 at $4.80. Plenty to like about his prospects.

2nd Pick
9

Til Heavens Rockn

Jockey: Jake Bigeni

Trainer: Simon Bigeni Jnr

J: Jake Bigeni

T: Simon Bigeni Jnr

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Heavenly Reason at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 57 on March 20 at $13. Then a handy effort when a close third after showing early speed, behind Toolijooa Beach at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 58 on March 26 at $4.80. Plenty to like about his prospects.

10
Flo Ryda silk

Two back was well beaten into second behind Miss Blue Stork at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 47 on March 20 at $7.50. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Toolijooa Beach at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 58 on March 26 at $11. Definite winning chance.

3rd Pick
10

Flo Ryda

Jockey: Declan Murphy

Trainer: Troy Williams

J: Declan Murphy

T: Troy Williams

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into second behind Miss Blue Stork at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 47 on March 20 at $7.50. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Toolijooa Beach at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 58 on March 26 at $11. Definite winning chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.