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5:33 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 7

Harness
11 Runners
10.1f
Unknown
Synthetic
9.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ALWAYS BE CHAPS (5) hasn't raced since he was down the track at Menangle eight weeks ago but has been kept up to the mark with two trials, winning the latest. Led to win over this distance two back, taking his strike rate at this circuit to 50 per cent. This suits. HEZA DOOZIE (1) is a progressive gelding who made it two from two this time in when he worked from a wide barrier and dug deep to salute here last start, getting home by a head. No excuses from the inside draw and should be peaking. ERROL FIN (2) draws lower than when he missed narrowly last week and scored back-to-back wins at this circuit and distance last month. Contender. SPIRIT KING (4) wasn't far away last week and recorded three successive placings here last month. Respect.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Always Be Chaps silk

Failed to impress last start, was driven from back in the field when 9th (Fr5) over 1m at Menangle, beaten 25 m by Lieutenant Arden (1:51.30) in 4-020yo+ 0W/20K Stakes on September 27 at $26. Showed ability the race before when he won by 3 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr2) at this track (2:24.20) beating Ashleys Blue Chip in NR 63 to 65 on September 19 at $1.65 at the bell was leading 1.7m on the pegs. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

1st Pick
5

Always Be Chaps

Jockey: Mitch Chapple

Trainer: Mitch Chapple

J: Mitch Chapple

T: Mitch Chapple

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, was driven from back in the field when 9th (Fr5) over 1m at Menangle, beaten 25 m by Lieutenant Arden (1:51.30) in 4-020yo+ 0W/20K Stakes on September 27 at $26. Showed ability the race before when he won by 3 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr2) at this track (2:24.20) beating Ashleys Blue Chip in NR 63 to 65 on September 19 at $1.65 at the bell was leading 1.7m on the pegs. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

1
Heza Doozie silk

Four-year-old gelding is racing in fine form. Won his last two outings at this track and Tamworth. Last start won by a head when quickly away, (Fr7) at this track (1:54.30) beating Abstract Art in NR 54 to 57 on October 17 at $7. Recent form hard to fault.

2nd Pick
1

Heza Doozie

Jockey: Tom Ison

Trainer: Tom Ison

J: Tom Ison

T: Tom Ison

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Four-year-old gelding is racing in fine form. Won his last two outings at this track and Tamworth. Last start won by a head when quickly away, (Fr7) at this track (1:54.30) beating Abstract Art in NR 54 to 57 on October 17 at $7. Recent form hard to fault.

2
Errol Fin silk

Improved last start with a solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten a head by Heza Player (2:28.50) in NR up to 57 on November 14 at $3.40. Nice effort last time. Winning hope.

3rd Pick
2

Errol Fin

Jockey: Cameron Hart

Trainer: R E Roots Jnr

J: Cameron Hart

T: R E Roots Jnr

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Improved last start with a solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten a head by Heza Player (2:28.50) in NR up to 57 on November 14 at $3.40. Nice effort last time. Winning hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.