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3:22 AM

AU2 - Charlton - Race 1

Harness
8 Runners
10.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
2.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BETTER BLUE BOYS (5) worked to find the lead and kept giving to salute last time out over 1 5/16m at Mildura in an improvement on recent efforts. That latest effort is good enough to win a race of this calibre. OVER THE LINE (2) drew a wide gate last start and was easily accounted for, beaten 30 metres into ninth at Maryborough over 1 m. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this better draw. Meets a similar line up and she can figure in the finish. MEDIA MOGUL (6) didn't do a bad job when fourth over 1 ¹/16m at Stawell last time out. Each-way. LORIMERMAJOR (4) is worth some thought based on his third over 1 m at Shepparton two runs ago.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Better Blue Boys silk

Last start won by 4 m when quickly away, (Fr6) at Mildura (2:46.70) beating Glitzy All Over in NR up to 49 on September 19 at $8.50 at the bell was leading 3.2. Sure to play a major role.

1st Pick
5

Better Blue Boys

Jockey: Ellen Tormey

Trainer: J Costa

J: Ellen Tormey

T: J Costa

77---34%2/1

Analysis

Last start won by 4 m when quickly away, (Fr6) at Mildura (2:46.70) beating Glitzy All Over in NR up to 49 on September 19 at $8.50 at the bell was leading 3.2. Sure to play a major role.

2
Over The Line silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 9th (Sr4) over 1 m at Maryborough, beaten 30 m by Sir Nippa (2:02.50) in NR up to 45 on September 22 at $15. The run previous broke in score up and was out of position at the start was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Maryborough, at the bell was 8th-9.6 beaten 8 m by Our True Colours (2:43.80) in NR 43 to 49 on September 8 at $12. Certainly up to this and she is a strong winning chance.

2nd Pick
2

Over The Line

Jockey: Alex Ashwood

Trainer: J R Cakebread

J: Alex Ashwood

T: J R Cakebread

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 9th (Sr4) over 1 m at Maryborough, beaten 30 m by Sir Nippa (2:02.50) in NR up to 45 on September 22 at $15. The run previous broke in score up and was out of position at the start was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Maryborough, at the bell was 8th-9.6 beaten 8 m by Our True Colours (2:43.80) in NR 43 to 49 on September 8 at $12. Certainly up to this and she is a strong winning chance.

6
Media Mogul silk

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Stawell was leading by 2.2 at the bell, beaten 2.5 m by Rocknroll Willow (2:11.10) in 0-2 WINS on September 15 at $81. Before that, 7th (Fr2) over 1 m at Maryborough, beaten 22 m by Maxy Can Dance (2:02.30) in 3yo NR up to 55 on September 8 at $61. Certainly worth another chance.

3rd Pick
6

Media Mogul

Jockey: Michael Bellman

Trainer: Rebecca East

J: Michael Bellman

T: Rebecca East

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Stawell was leading by 2.2 at the bell, beaten 2.5 m by Rocknroll Willow (2:11.10) in 0-2 WINS on September 15 at $81. Before that, 7th (Fr2) over 1 m at Maryborough, beaten 22 m by Maxy Can Dance (2:02.30) in 3yo NR up to 55 on September 8 at $61. Certainly worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.