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2:07 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 3

Harness
8 Runners
8.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THE LADYBIRD (2) finished third last start over 1 m at Kilmore, beaten 5 metres, after a good win at Horsham the run prior. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Not disgraced last time. Good enough to win a race of this calibre. KEAYANG CRIPPA (5) had to call on all reserves to score at the most recent appearance over 1 5/16m at this track, getting home by just a head. Finds a tougher race but he has the ability to test this field. HESASTAR (3) is looming as a real threat after a better effort last start, finishing second at this track over 1 5/16m. ROJENBYE (8) is the best of the rest after finishing fourth over 1 5/16m at Charlton last time out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
The Ladybird silk

Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 m after showing early speed at Kilmore was 2nd-4.12 at the bell, beaten 5 m by Kimchi (2:03.10) on October 22 at $11. Two runs back won by 5 m when driven back in the field, (Fr4) held up early, at Horsham (2:04.30) beating Skadi in on October 5 at $6.50 at the bell was 3rd-4.4. Will be right in the thick of things.

1st Pick
2

The Ladybird

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: John Tormey

J: Jack Laugher

T: John Tormey

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 m after showing early speed at Kilmore was 2nd-4.12 at the bell, beaten 5 m by Kimchi (2:03.10) on October 22 at $11. Two runs back won by 5 m when driven back in the field, (Fr4) held up early, at Horsham (2:04.30) beating Skadi in on October 5 at $6.50 at the bell was 3rd-4.4. Will be right in the thick of things.

5
Keayang Crippa silk

Last start ran on from midfield and won by a head as favourite when driven back in the field, (Fr6) held up early, at this track (2:45.30) beating Hesastar in on October 20 at $2.80 at the bell was 4th-6.4. In form and should feature in the finish again.

2nd Pick
5

Keayang Crippa

Jockey: Kathy Watson

Trainer: Luke Watson

J: Kathy Watson

T: Luke Watson

76---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start ran on from midfield and won by a head as favourite when driven back in the field, (Fr6) held up early, at this track (2:45.30) beating Hesastar in on October 20 at $2.80 at the bell was 4th-6.4. In form and should feature in the finish again.

3
Hesastar silk

Two back was well beaten into ninth behind Fleur Bella at this track over 1 ยน/16m on October 6 at $14. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Keayang Crippa at this track over 1 5/16m on October 20 at $5.50. Capable of featuring.

3rd Pick
3

Hesastar

Jockey: Ellen Tormey

Trainer: A P Vozlic

J: Ellen Tormey

T: A P Vozlic

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into ninth behind Fleur Bella at this track over 1 ยน/16m on October 6 at $14. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Keayang Crippa at this track over 1 5/16m on October 20 at $5.50. Capable of featuring.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.