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2:42 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 1

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOODTIME MIKI (4) has been racing in stronger company of late and while he broke last time he produced some solid efforts prior including a second at Goulburn last month. He looks well placed at this level. HALLOWEEN (3) has been racing at Menangle and coming from wider barriers. Hasn't featured at his last couple of starts but recorded back-to-back seconds last month. Likely to get the favours from this nice draw. Big chance. BELLRIVERGIRL (2) draws much better than she did last time out and had recorded a string of placings prior. SPECIALIZE LOU (9) has been racing in the city of late but came from a wide barrier for second the last time he raced here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Goodtime Miki silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr2) over 1 ยน/16m after showing early pace at Penrith, at the bell was 4th-5.53 beaten 11 m by Iloveacalendergirl (2:04.40) in NR up to 48 on December 11 at $6.50. The run prior 5th (Fr5) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 2nd-3.08 beaten 12 m by Katlas Dream (1:54.90) in NR up to 48 on December 5 at $17. Strong claims.

1st Pick
4

Goodtime Miki

Jockey: Zara Fitzpatrick

Trainer: Lachlan Prothero

J: Zara Fitzpatrick

T: Lachlan Prothero

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr2) over 1 ยน/16m after showing early pace at Penrith, at the bell was 4th-5.53 beaten 11 m by Iloveacalendergirl (2:04.40) in NR up to 48 on December 11 at $6.50. The run prior 5th (Fr5) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 2nd-3.08 beaten 12 m by Katlas Dream (1:54.90) in NR up to 48 on December 5 at $17. Strong claims.

3
Halloween silk

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr5) over 1m at Menangle beaten 21 m by Oursurfinsafari (1:53.70) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 8 at $23. The run before was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr9) over 1m at Menangle was 9th-16.71 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Watch Me React (1:54.60) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $51. Better placed and draws well.

2nd Pick
3

Halloween

Jockey: Joshua Gallagher

Trainer: Brad Abbott

J: Joshua Gallagher

T: Brad Abbott

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr5) over 1m at Menangle beaten 21 m by Oursurfinsafari (1:53.70) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 8 at $23. The run before was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr9) over 1m at Menangle was 9th-16.71 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Watch Me React (1:54.60) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $51. Better placed and draws well.

2
Bellrivergirl silk

Last start 6th (Sr2) over 1m at Tamworth was 5th-9.2 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Artful Prince (1:57.50) in NR up to 48 on December 11 at $81. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at Tamworth, at the bell was leading 3.8 beaten 2.25 m by Frontliner (1:58.10) in NR up to 38 on December 4 at $1.80. Rates highly. Has a low draw and is a player.

3rd Pick
2

Bellrivergirl

Jockey: C M Sutherland

Trainer: Chris Sutherland

J: C M Sutherland

T: Chris Sutherland

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 6th (Sr2) over 1m at Tamworth was 5th-9.2 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Artful Prince (1:57.50) in NR up to 48 on December 11 at $81. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at Tamworth, at the bell was leading 3.8 beaten 2.25 m by Frontliner (1:58.10) in NR up to 38 on December 4 at $1.80. Rates highly. Has a low draw and is a player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Superfecta

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