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6:07 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 4

Harness
10 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TOMMY BLIGH (4) was solid when midfield form this barrier last week and had looked close to a win when placed in three of his previous four outings. Winning hope in a competitive affair. MULLUM DOC (9) came from this same barrier for fourth at his most recent appearance at this circuit and distance. Can measure up if things go his way. AMILLIONCHANCES (8) draws for a trail and has been racing consistently at Redcliffe of late, placing in his last three outings. IDEAL TIGER (3) will appreciate a good draw having come from the second line in a last-start fourth and placing from wider barriers in the previous two appearances.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Tommy Bligh silk

Last start 5th (Fr4) over 1 m after showing early speed at this track beaten 11 m by Diego Delgado (2:00.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 13 at $7. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 4 m by Teachers Pet (2:42.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 6 at $9. May prove hard to beat.

1st Pick
4

Tommy Bligh

Jockey: Nathan Rothwell

Trainer: Nathan Rothwell

J: Nathan Rothwell

T: Nathan Rothwell

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr4) over 1 m after showing early speed at this track beaten 11 m by Diego Delgado (2:00.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 13 at $7. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 4 m by Teachers Pet (2:42.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 6 at $9. May prove hard to beat.

9
Mullum Doc silk

Last start 4th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track beaten 10 m by Diego Delgado (2:00.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 13 at $12. At the start before 4th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Redcliffe beaten 9 m by Sargeant (2:11.00) in 3yo+ NR 40 to 44 on January 7 at $6.50. Strong claims.

2nd Pick
9

Mullum Doc

Jockey: Angus Garrard

Trainer: Matt Crone

J: Angus Garrard

T: Matt Crone

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track beaten 10 m by Diego Delgado (2:00.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 13 at $12. At the start before 4th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Redcliffe beaten 9 m by Sargeant (2:11.00) in 3yo+ NR 40 to 44 on January 7 at $6.50. Strong claims.

8
Amillionchances silk

Two back was well beaten into second behind Skippers Swan Song at Redcliffe over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 40 on January 8 at $2.30. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing third behind Betting Baron at Redcliffe over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 40 on January 14 at $1.50. Go well again.

3rd Pick
8

Amillionchances

Jockey: Layne Dwyer

Trainer: Jan Aitkenhead

J: Layne Dwyer

T: Jan Aitkenhead

76---25%3/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into second behind Skippers Swan Song at Redcliffe over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 40 on January 8 at $2.30. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing third behind Betting Baron at Redcliffe over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 40 on January 14 at $1.50. Go well again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.