AU1 - Maryborough - Race 5

Harness

12 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

2.6K

VIEW

Verdict

LIZZIES SON (9) has been taking on higher-graded races of late and there was merit in the latest performance when he led and stuck on for fourth at Shepparton. Draws on the back row but came from there for back-to-back seconds earlier in the campaign. This is winnable. MONTANA MUSCLE (4) led to win the last time she raced here three back and has had little go to plan since, copping a check and breaking in the next outing then tackling stronger company last start. This suits better. COL DU GRANON (6) has been solid of late and missed by just a nose the last time he raced at this venue so is on the radar. THE NIGHT QUEEN (7) draws wider but has claims off a good effort last time out for third at Bendigo.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1 m after showing early pace at Shepparton, at the bell was leading 1.4m on the pegs beaten 8 m by Abbie (2:06.70) in NR up to 50 on April 29 at $2.60. Before that, 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Cobram beaten 60 m by Thats Dudley (2:44.40) in NR up to 49 on April 25 at $2.30. Has the right credentials to take this out. 1st Pick 9 Lizzies Son Jockey: Dennis Paton Trainer: Dennis Paton J: Dennis Paton T: Dennis Paton	77	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1 m after showing early pace at Shepparton, at the bell was leading 1.4m on the pegs beaten 8 m by Abbie (2:06.70) in NR up to 50 on April 29 at $2.60. Before that, 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Cobram beaten 60 m by Thats Dudley (2:44.40) in NR up to 49 on April 25 at $2.30. Has the right credentials to take this out.
4	Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 6th (Fr1) over 1 5/16m at Shepparton beaten 14 m by Settle The Bill (2:52.60) in NR up to 49 on April 22 at $13. The run before 6th (FT Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Shepparton, beaten 23 m by Tedesco (2:49.90) in No NR on April 8 at $14. No surprise to see her bounce back to form. 2nd Pick 4 Montana Muscle Jockey: Gary Pekin Trainer: K C Covington J: Gary Pekin T: K C Covington	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 6th (Fr1) over 1 5/16m at Shepparton beaten 14 m by Settle The Bill (2:52.60) in NR up to 49 on April 22 at $13. The run before 6th (FT Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Shepparton, beaten 23 m by Tedesco (2:49.90) in No NR on April 8 at $14. No surprise to see her bounce back to form.
6	Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at Bendigo, at the bell was 3rd-3.88 beaten 9 m by Wallis (2:46.30) in NR up to 45 on April 30 at $5. Before that, 6th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at Melton was leading by 1.3m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 12 m by Against The Bridle (2:09.70) in NR up to 45 on April 25 at $8.50. Strong winning hope. 3rd Pick 6 Col Du Granon Jockey: Jordan Leedham Trainer: Glenn Sharp J: Jordan Leedham T: Glenn Sharp	74	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at Bendigo, at the bell was 3rd-3.88 beaten 9 m by Wallis (2:46.30) in NR up to 45 on April 30 at $5. Before that, 6th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at Melton was leading by 1.3m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 12 m by Against The Bridle (2:09.70) in NR up to 45 on April 25 at $8.50. Strong winning hope.

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