AU1 - Hobart - Race 4

Harness

10 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

9.7K

VIEW

Verdict

JILLIBY WORPA (2) was in the money when resuming two starts ago then scored a authoritative win last start over 1 ?m at Launceston, getting home by 17 metres after finding the lead in the early stages. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. That latest effort is good enough to win a race of this calibre. QUEEN ANASTASIA (7) form has been impressive since returning from a spell. Finished third at her latest appearance over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten 2.5 metres, on the back of a first-up win at this track. Has to contend with a very wide draw. This is a nice drop in grade so she is a major player. A ROCKN NIGHTMARE (3) comes right into contention after scoring last start by 1.4 metres at this track over 1 ¼m. ULTIMATE GLADIATOR (9) was in the money two starts ago then things went amiss last start when he broke and finished a distant last over 1 ¼m at this track. Can't make any mistakes against this field but he is right in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Last start won by 17 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at Launceston (2:41.90) beating Winning Brew in 3yo+ on October 18 at $2.80 at the bell was leading 4.6. Can maintain the solid form. 1st Pick 2 Jilliby Worpa Jockey: Mark Yole Trainer: P L Dornauf J: Mark Yole T: P L Dornauf	77	-	-	-	72%
Analysis Last start won by 17 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at Launceston (2:41.90) beating Winning Brew in 3yo+ on October 18 at $2.80 at the bell was leading 4.6. Can maintain the solid form.
7	Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at this track beaten 2.5 m by A Rockn Nightmare (2:36.60) in 3yo on October 31 at $3.20. Two runs back raced just off the speed and boxed on, won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr2) at this track (1:57.90) beating Omybacnknees Judge in 3yo+ on October 11 at $4 at the bell was 2nd-0.4. Hard to beat. 2nd Pick 7 Queen Anastasia Jockey: Todd Rattray Trainer: T E Rattray J: Todd Rattray T: T E Rattray	75	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at this track beaten 2.5 m by A Rockn Nightmare (2:36.60) in 3yo on October 31 at $3.20. Two runs back raced just off the speed and boxed on, won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr2) at this track (1:57.90) beating Omybacnknees Judge in 3yo+ on October 11 at $4 at the bell was 2nd-0.4. Hard to beat.
3	Last start won by 1.4 m (Fr2) at this track (2:36.60) beating Stayzbetter in 3yo on October 31 at $18. Can go back-to-back. 3rd Pick 3 A Rockn Nightmare Jockey: Ethan Arnott Trainer: J J Mckenzie J: Ethan Arnott T: J J Mckenzie	74	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Last start won by 1.4 m (Fr2) at this track (2:36.60) beating Stayzbetter in 3yo on October 31 at $18. Can go back-to-back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.