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5:34 AM

AU1 - Menangle - Race 4

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
7.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VESPA STRIDE (5) has worked his way back into form and looks close to a win after back-to-back placings from this barrier at this circuit and distance, last time finishing only 2 metres off the winner. Finds a suitable assignment so could grab a well-deserved win. GIMME A REASON (9) was solid when he finished 2 metres away in second at Penrith last start. The driver has some work to do from this wide starting position but he recorded back-to-back placings here earlier in the campaign, one from a similar draw. THE EX HORSEIST (6) is first up for 11 weeks but was readied with a trial win here and has won two of three previous fresh attempts. KELLOSHIEL (4) might find this easier than the last attempt and came from wider for second in this grade here three back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Vespa Stride silk

Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Blackjack Bart at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on September 15 at $81. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2 m finishing third behind Flo Ryda at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on September 22 at $15. Has the right credentials to take this out.

1st Pick
5

Vespa Stride

Jockey: Brad Abbott

Trainer: Brad Abbott

J: Brad Abbott

T: Brad Abbott

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Blackjack Bart at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on September 15 at $81. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2 m finishing third behind Flo Ryda at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on September 22 at $15. Has the right credentials to take this out.

9
Gimme A Reason silk

Two back was well beaten into fifth after showing early speed, behind Blackjack Bart at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on September 15 at $9. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Prince Of Peace at Penrith over 1 ยน/16m on September 24 at $3.40. Sure to play a significant role.

2nd Pick
9

Gimme A Reason

Jockey: Cameron Hart

Trainer: David Waite

J: Cameron Hart

T: David Waite

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into fifth after showing early speed, behind Blackjack Bart at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on September 15 at $9. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Prince Of Peace at Penrith over 1 ยน/16m on September 24 at $3.40. Sure to play a significant role.

6
The Ex Horseist silk

First up. At the last run he was well back in the run when 10th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at Penrith was 10th-21.26 at the bell, beaten 17 m by Soho Washington (2:35.90) on July 16 at $71. Has the right credentials to take this out.

3rd Pick
6

The Ex Horseist

Jockey: Jim Douglass

Trainer: Ian Wilson

J: Jim Douglass

T: Ian Wilson

73---15%6/1

Analysis

First up. At the last run he was well back in the run when 10th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at Penrith was 10th-21.26 at the bell, beaten 17 m by Soho Washington (2:35.90) on July 16 at $71. Has the right credentials to take this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.