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4:52 AM

AU1 - Menangle - Race 3

Harness
8 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
10.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Boom colt LOUCASSO (5) has been impressive in winning his two starts at this circuit and distance off a lengthy spell, leading from wider draws and proving too speedy both times. His fitness will continue to build and he should be going forward again from the lower draw so can continue on his winning way. ALERT BAY (3) has chased Loucasso in his last two outings and while he hasn't been able to match him he hasn't shirked his task, sticking on for second both times to continues a long run of consistent form. He draws inside his rival so can be competitive again. LEWIE KELLY (6) hasn't raced since July but did end the last campaign with three straight wins, the most recent coming at this circuit and distance. BLAZING HIGH (4) has come from the back row in his last two outings for an easy Penrith win and a second in a Vicbred consolation at Melton last time out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Loucasso silk

Comes here in the right form. Posted a big 4 m win as favourite (Fr7) at this track (1:49.90) beating Alert Bay in 3yo on September 19 at $1.15 at the bell was leading 3.66. Two runs back won by 2.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr7) at this track (1:49.50) beating Alert Bay in 3yo on September 5 at $1.20 at the bell was leading 4.26. Looks the testing material.

1st Pick
5

Loucasso

Jockey: Seaton Grima

Trainer: Seaton Grima

J: Seaton Grima

T: Seaton Grima

77---80%1/4

Analysis

Comes here in the right form. Posted a big 4 m win as favourite (Fr7) at this track (1:49.90) beating Alert Bay in 3yo on September 19 at $1.15 at the bell was leading 3.66. Two runs back won by 2.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr7) at this track (1:49.50) beating Alert Bay in 3yo on September 5 at $1.20 at the bell was leading 4.26. Looks the testing material.

3
Alert Bay silk

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4 m second behind Loucasso at this track over 1m 3yo last start. Before that was beaten 2.75 metres second again at this track same class on September 5. Racing well and is a strong chance.

2nd Pick
3

Alert Bay

Jockey: James Rattray

Trainer: James Rattray

J: James Rattray

T: James Rattray

73---19%9/2

Analysis

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4 m second behind Loucasso at this track over 1m 3yo last start. Before that was beaten 2.75 metres second again at this track same class on September 5. Racing well and is a strong chance.

6
Lewie Kelly silk

First up. At the last run he won by a nose (Fr3) overraced, at this track (1:53.40) beating Blazing High in 3yo on July 25 at $21 at the bell was 4th-8.37. Can open the prep with a bold run.

3rd Pick
6

Lewie Kelly

Jockey: Ashleigh Delosa

Trainer: Rickie Alchin

J: Ashleigh Delosa

T: Rickie Alchin

67---8%13/1

Analysis

First up. At the last run he won by a nose (Fr3) overraced, at this track (1:53.40) beating Blazing High in 3yo on July 25 at $21 at the bell was 4th-8.37. Can open the prep with a bold run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.