NZ - Ascot - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.1K

VIEW

Verdict

EIGHT PENCE (11) stepped up to a mile and cleared his maiden status at Ashburton, and then followed it up with a game all the way win at Riccarton in a good field there a month ago, scoring by a short-head. If he can find the top early on in this, then he will take a lot of pegging back. LEMON CURD (7) made the most of a good ride and accelerated nicely once presented, scoring by well over 2 lengths on this track nearly 3 weeks ago. She holds her form when fit and can win again. ACCIDENTAL TOURIST (2) is making his debut from the Robert Dennis stable, and he will find the company down this way more to his liking. His last run was 6 weeks ago, and he cannot be taken lightly. Check the markets. SABRINA HALL (14) has thrived since joining the in-form Joe Waldron stable from the North, and she got in the deciding stride to score by a head second up here nearly 3 weeks ago. The step up to a mile will suit her, and she can figure in the top 3 again. WINEXPRESS (6) is eyeing up a hat-trick.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 31-day let-up. At the latest run won by a head at Riccarton Park November 12 over 1m in soft going defeating Oaksdeel carrying 122lbs at $19.90. The race before that won by 2.5 len at Ashburton October 19 over 1m defeating Tranquil Eyes with 122lbs at $3. One of the major players. 1st Pick 11 Eight Pence Jockey: Rohan Mudhoo Trainer: Lance Robinson J: Rohan Mudhoo T: Lance Robinson	107	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 31-day let-up. At the latest run won by a head at Riccarton Park November 12 over 1m in soft going defeating Oaksdeel carrying 122lbs at $19.90. The race before that won by 2.5 len at Ashburton October 19 over 1m defeating Tranquil Eyes with 122lbs at $3. One of the major players.
7	Most recently favourite, won by 2.25 len at this track November 23 over 6f on a soft track defeating Radiant Reach carrying 120lbs at $4.80. The start before that ran last of 12 at this track on October 3 over 7f, on a wet track, 22 len behind Sir Sterling carrying 125lbs at $9.90. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot. 2nd Pick 7 Lemon Curd Jockey: Liam Kauri Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Liam Kauri T: Robert Dennis	142	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently favourite, won by 2.25 len at this track November 23 over 6f on a soft track defeating Radiant Reach carrying 120lbs at $4.80. The start before that ran last of 12 at this track on October 3 over 7f, on a wet track, 22 len behind Sir Sterling carrying 125lbs at $9.90. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot.
2	Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Last start 12th of 14 at Tauranga on November 1 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Bourbon Proof with 132lbs at $20.80. The race before that got back early 8th of 14 at Arawa Park on October 12 over 7f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Smart Love with 125lbs at $32.90. Capable of more - worth another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Accidental Tourist Jockey: Billy Jacobson Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Billy Jacobson T: Robert Dennis	103	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Last start 12th of 14 at Tauranga on November 1 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Bourbon Proof with 132lbs at $20.80. The race before that got back early 8th of 14 at Arawa Park on October 12 over 7f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Smart Love with 125lbs at $32.90. Capable of more - worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.