NZ - Ascot - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

HELLO HAYLEY (3) won two of the triple crown races for 3yo's last season at LR level and resumed with a smart win, powering home from midfield in her usual style at Ashburton. The one to beat here. BETTER SHARED (2) was keen 3 wide on the speed and battled home when fresh at Wingatui. Has won 2 of 4 on soft, 3 of 5 at the trip and 1 of 2 2nd-up. Danger here. INDUSTRIALIST (5) sat back and got a lovely split to charge home in the centre and won easily in the end at Gore last week. Claim will help again here. MAGNASTAR (4) led and boxed on well in a return to form at Gore last week. Great record this trip but likely needs it heavy. THE OCEAN HEART (7) led all the way to win a 7f maiden in February then charged home to score over 1m 3 weeks later. Outclassed at Trentham after that and spelled. Consider here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second run back. First-up after six months ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at Ashburton on October 10 over 7f on a soft track defeating Wanderin Spelle carrying 122lbs at $10.80. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.5 len at this track on December 13 over 6f in soft going defeating Azilee Star carrying 121lbs at $6.40. No reason she cannot get the job done again. 1st Pick 3 Hello Hayley Jockey: Donovan Cooper Trainer: Sophie Price J: Donovan Cooper T: Sophie Price	146	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at Ashburton on October 10 over 7f on a soft track defeating Wanderin Spelle carrying 122lbs at $10.80. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.5 len at this track on December 13 over 6f in soft going defeating Azilee Star carrying 121lbs at $6.40. No reason she cannot get the job done again.
2	Second run back. First-up after five months ran last of 8 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, in the wet, 12 len behind Sir Sterling carrying 110lbs at $6.60. Previously second-up won by a 0.1 len in the LR Gore Guineas at Riverton on April 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Queen Of Sheba with 121lbs at $9.20. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat. 2nd Pick 2 Better Shared Jockey: Corey Campbell Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Corey Campbell T: Kelvin Tyler	101	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months ran last of 8 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, in the wet, 12 len behind Sir Sterling carrying 110lbs at $6.60. Previously second-up won by a 0.1 len in the LR Gore Guineas at Riverton on April 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Queen Of Sheba with 121lbs at $9.20. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat.
5	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 8 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Sir Sterling with 119lbs at $6.70. Second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn and scored a big 3 len win at Gore on October 16 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Go Lotte with 117lbs at $4.50. One of the leading hopes. 3rd Pick 5 Industrialist Jockey: Alyssa Parris Trainer: Sally Mckay J: Alyssa Parris T: Sally Mckay	112	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 8 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Sir Sterling with 119lbs at $6.70. Second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn and scored a big 3 len win at Gore on October 16 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Go Lotte with 117lbs at $4.50. One of the leading hopes.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.