NZ - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.1K

VIEW

Verdict

BLUE GODDESS (5) capped off some solid form with a well-deserved maiden win over this trip at Timaru on a good track. She has been taken along quietly and should now go on with the job. OCEAN BOULEVARD (9) stepped up to a mile and posted her first win here nearly 3 weeks ago, scoring by well over 2 lengths. The extra 3f should not be a problem, and she will be just as hard to hold out here as well. STRONG (4) raced too keenly in front at Riccarton 4 weeks ago and faded badly in the run home. He is much better placed in this, and a form reversal would be no surprise to us. ENDEAN ACE (6) had no luck off a wide trip at Cromwell just over a fortnight ago, and his fourth here before that is the guide to use. With a kinder trip, he can figure in the top 4 at some value. SAVIOUR (7) bounced back into form with a game run for third at Cromwell last time out. He will be at his peak fitness now, and another honest effort can be expected. Include in all combinations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 5.5 len at Phar Lap Racecourse November 19 over 1m defeating Shockus with 122lbs at $2. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Tik Tok Ted carrying 120lbs at $5. Leading player again. 1st Pick 5 Blue Goddess Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Samantha Wynne J: Amber Riddell T: Samantha Wynne	68	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 5.5 len at Phar Lap Racecourse November 19 over 1m defeating Shockus with 122lbs at $2. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Tik Tok Ted carrying 120lbs at $5. Leading player again.
9	Form hard to fault. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at this track November 23 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating First Eminent carrying 119lbs at $3.90. The race before that 4th of 8 at Riverton on November 2 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Rings Of Satin with 117lbs at $3.20. Facing a stiffer test this time but looks up to the task. 2nd Pick 9 Ocean Boulevard Jockey: Liam Kauri Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Liam Kauri T: Robert Dennis	69	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at this track November 23 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating First Eminent carrying 119lbs at $3.90. The race before that 4th of 8 at Riverton on November 2 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Rings Of Satin with 117lbs at $3.20. Facing a stiffer test this time but looks up to the task.
4	At the latest run struggled in the run home, ran last of 10 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 29 len behind Rosso with 119lbs at $44.20. The race before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 16 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Unleash The Beast carrying 129lbs at $23.30. Finds a suitable race and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 4 Strong Jockey: Daniel Bothamley Trainer: Bruce Tapper J: Daniel Bothamley T: Bruce Tapper	62	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis At the latest run struggled in the run home, ran last of 10 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 29 len behind Rosso with 119lbs at $44.20. The race before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 16 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Unleash The Beast carrying 129lbs at $23.30. Finds a suitable race and deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.