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2:22 AM

NZ - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
10.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SWOOMEE SWAN (6) has placed in all 3 starts on this course and all were soft tracks. Obviously had issues as only one run for a fair 3L 8th last prep. Usually on the pace and the draw looks ideal. CHASING HIGHS (7) much improved when swept up wide from the back to hit the lead but was nabbed on the line at Wingatui last time when fresh. Danger. EASTERLY (2) solid placings at Riverton and here back in April before a battling run in May and a spell. Best form gives him solid claims here. MOET AMOUR (12) is a first starter by War Decree who won an 4f jumpout at Winton by 2L earlier this month. Watch closely here. MR DARCY (4) has led in all three starts, the best his last run when fresh in June and beaten 2L 5th. Tongue Tie and Nose Band going on may help.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Swoomee Swan silk

Back from a long spell. Finished off last campaign 8th of 14 at Wingatui on March 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Brutal Riff with 121lbs at $4.80. First up last campaign 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on September 13 2025 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind War Of Silence with 115lbs at $13.30. Looks a key runner.

1st Pick
6

Swoomee Swan

Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge

Trainer: Robert Dennis

J: Ashlee Strawbridge

T: Robert Dennis

111---34%2/1

Analysis

Back from a long spell. Finished off last campaign 8th of 14 at Wingatui on March 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Brutal Riff with 121lbs at $4.80. First up last campaign 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on September 13 2025 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind War Of Silence with 115lbs at $13.30. Looks a key runner.

7
Chasing Highs silk

Second run back. First-up after six months 2nd of 13 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on heavy track, nose behind My Girl Alice with 125lbs at $12.80. Previously second-up 10th of 14 at Riverton on April 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 14 len behind Filter with 123lbs at $14.80. Winning chance with that run under the belt.

2nd Pick
7

Chasing Highs

Jockey: Brandon May

Trainer: Ebony Turner

J: Brandon May

T: Ebony Turner

170---16%11/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months 2nd of 13 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on heavy track, nose behind My Girl Alice with 125lbs at $12.80. Previously second-up 10th of 14 at Riverton on April 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 14 len behind Filter with 123lbs at $14.80. Winning chance with that run under the belt.

2
Easterly silk

Resuming today after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 10 at Riverton May 8 over 7f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Marcus Attillus with 129lbs at $2.80. When resuming last campaign fourth of 14 at Riverton March 8 over 6f, in the wet, 4 len behind Better Shared carrying 129lbs at $30.30. Likely to play a major role.

3rd Pick
2

Easterly

Jockey: Brett Murray

Trainer: Jenn Sheridan

J: Brett Murray

T: Jenn Sheridan

57---11%17/2

Analysis

Resuming today after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 10 at Riverton May 8 over 7f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Marcus Attillus with 129lbs at $2.80. When resuming last campaign fourth of 14 at Riverton March 8 over 6f, in the wet, 4 len behind Better Shared carrying 129lbs at $30.30. Likely to play a major role.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.