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1:47 AM

NZ - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
10.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JOCK'S WAY (1) improved effort 2nd-up last start when charged home from the tail of the field for a close 3rd at Wingatui over 6f. Extra trip looks ideal now. ENSIGN JACK (3) led and was swamped late over this trip in May. Worked to get the front then had no peace and condition gave out when fresh at Gore last week. Fitter now. MAKARORA (7) was fresh since May when got well back and struggled on the heavy Wingatui track earlier this month. Has since won a jumpout and can improve here. AURICULA (9) is a northern import who was beaten a head by MAKARORA in a 5f jumpout on October 12. Keep safe in her debut here. JOT DOWN (6) had support but was checked to the rear and couldn't get into the race on the heavy track at Gore last week. Lone placing came of soft.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Jock's Way silk

Third-up today. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Wingatui on September 4 over 6f, in the wet, 4 len behind Dink with 129lbs at $9.10. Second-up 3rd of 13 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.2 len behind My Girl Alice carrying 129lbs at $7.70. Racing well. In form and will be hard to beat.

1st Pick
1

Jock's Way

Jockey: Corey Campbell

Trainer: Kelvin Tyler

J: Corey Campbell

T: Kelvin Tyler

141---31%9/4

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Wingatui on September 4 over 6f, in the wet, 4 len behind Dink with 129lbs at $9.10. Second-up 3rd of 13 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.2 len behind My Girl Alice carrying 129lbs at $7.70. Racing well. In form and will be hard to beat.

3
Ensign Jack silk

Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 10 at Gore on October 16 over 6f, in the wet, 6 len behind Sheza Quetee with 129lbs at $16.50. Previously second-up ran second last of 14 at Riverton on April 6 over 6f, slow going 22 len behind Filter with 129lbs at $15.50. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

2nd Pick
3

Ensign Jack

Jockey: Krishna Mudhoo

Trainer: Jo-Ann Gordon

J: Krishna Mudhoo

T: Jo-Ann Gordon

118---17%5/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 10 at Gore on October 16 over 6f, in the wet, 6 len behind Sheza Quetee with 129lbs at $16.50. Previously second-up ran second last of 14 at Riverton on April 6 over 6f, slow going 22 len behind Filter with 129lbs at $15.50. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

7
Makarora silk

Second-up. First start 8th of 10 at this track on May 10 over 6f, in the wet, 15 len behind Undisputed with 129lbs at $22.90. Went for a spell before returning 9th of 13 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on rain affected going, 10 len behind My Girl Alice carrying 125lbs at $52.50. Fitter but looks a forlorn hope.

3rd Pick
7

Makarora

Jockey: Brett Murray

Trainer: Sally Mckay

J: Brett Murray

T: Sally Mckay

51---4%25/1

Analysis

Second-up. First start 8th of 10 at this track on May 10 over 6f, in the wet, 15 len behind Undisputed with 129lbs at $22.90. Went for a spell before returning 9th of 13 at Wingatui on October 2 over 6f, on rain affected going, 10 len behind My Girl Alice carrying 125lbs at $52.50. Fitter but looks a forlorn hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.