NZ - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ELOISE (7) will be resuming from a spell over a trip well short of her best, and is having her first run for the Robert Dennis stable. She is likely to settle back early on, but if the pace is genuine, then she can have the last say in a field like this. BAKHITA (5) had already run her race prior to entering the barriers at Cromwell last start, and that effort is best forgotten. She can make amends here at some nice each-way value. AMERICAN CHEVAL (12) was heavily supported fresh up and peaked on her run late, finishing seventh. She strips fitter, and can figure in the top 4 here. Stick with her. SAILOR GIRL (14) had no luck at all here 3 weeks ago, and if the gaps come at the right time, she can make her presence felt. Include in all top 4 combos. INTERCEPT (10) resumes from a short spell without any public trials. She can be competitive, especially if the track is rain-affected.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Mare back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 15 at Ellerslie September 6 over 1m, soft track, 6 len behind Double Take carrying 127lbs at $12.80. First up last campaign third of 11 at Te Rapa May 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Jamaica Farewell with 125lbs at $27.40. Likely to feature. 1st Pick 7 Eloise Jockey: Liam Kauri Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Liam Kauri T: Robert Dennis	50	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Mare back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 15 at Ellerslie September 6 over 1m, soft track, 6 len behind Double Take carrying 127lbs at $12.80. First up last campaign third of 11 at Te Rapa May 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Jamaica Farewell with 125lbs at $27.40. Likely to feature.
5	At the latest run got back early 11th of 14 at Cromwell on November 30 over 6f, 12 len behind Palace Princess carrying 121lbs at $13.80. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Charm Manhattan with 127lbs at $4.90. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time. 2nd Pick 5 Bakhita Jockey: Ruvanesh Muniandy Trainer: Jason Coutts J: Ruvanesh Muniandy T: Jason Coutts	125	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis At the latest run got back early 11th of 14 at Cromwell on November 30 over 6f, 12 len behind Palace Princess carrying 121lbs at $13.80. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Charm Manhattan with 127lbs at $4.90. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time.
12	Second run back. Comes off a 39-day let-up. First-up after eight months 7th of 14 at Wingatui on November 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Jessie Jay carrying 122lbs at $4.70. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Cromwell on December 1 2024 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Mis Speaks carrying 123lbs at $28.40. Fitter and looks set to improve sharply. 3rd Pick 12 American Cheval Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Terry Kennedy J: Non Runner T: Terry Kennedy	62	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 39-day let-up. First-up after eight months 7th of 14 at Wingatui on November 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Jessie Jay carrying 122lbs at $4.70. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Cromwell on December 1 2024 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Mis Speaks carrying 123lbs at $28.40. Fitter and looks set to improve sharply.

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Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.