NZ - Ascot - Race 2

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SHE'S A FILLY (1) got well back early when first-up but got going late to grab 3rd at Wingatui 3 weeks ago. Placed 2 of 4 starts on soft tracks so better track likely to suit here. MUST BEE (3) put in fair efforts in last couple, picking up some ground from beyond midfield without threatening up north. Might find things a bit easier here. RISK MITIGATION (4) made up a lot of ground from a mile back last start at Timaru when up to this trip. Respect here. ANGEL'S ARMY (2) put in a good run for 2nd at Riverton back in May before a spell. Never in the race on heavy at Wingatui when fresh but fitter for the run. Has placed twice and improvement wouldn't surprise. TICK TICK BOOM (7) worked up outside the leader but was very green in the run and battled late. Ran 4th this trip at Pukekohe last year. Blinkers go on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second-up. First-up after six months 3rd of 12 at Wingatui on October 2 over 7f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Shes So Flash with 125lbs at $7.70. Previously second-up 6th of 14 at this track on December 13 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Courte Xena carrying 125lbs at $63.40. Sure to make her presence felt. 1st Pick 1 She's A Filly Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge Trainer: Tommy Beckett J: Ashlee Strawbridge T: Tommy Beckett	115	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 3rd of 12 at Wingatui on October 2 over 7f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Shes So Flash with 125lbs at $7.70. Previously second-up 6th of 14 at this track on December 13 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Courte Xena carrying 125lbs at $63.40. Sure to make her presence felt.
3	Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 11 at Te Aroha on September 20 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Rock On Ozzy carrying 143lbs at $8. The run before that 10th of 13 at Matamata on September 16 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Vintage Rose with 127lbs at $32.60. Can go on with the job now. 2nd Pick 3 Must Bee Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Kendra Bakker T: Kelvin Tyler	88	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 11 at Te Aroha on September 20 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Rock On Ozzy carrying 143lbs at $8. The run before that 10th of 13 at Matamata on September 16 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Vintage Rose with 127lbs at $32.60. Can go on with the job now.
4	Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Tulsa Turnaround carrying 125lbs at $9.40. Before that 8th of 13 at Riccarton Park on September 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Go Thea with 125lbs at $21.90. Among the winning hopes on best form. 3rd Pick 4 Risk Mitigation Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Jackie Burrows J: Terry Moseley T: Jackie Burrows	132	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Tulsa Turnaround carrying 125lbs at $9.40. Before that 8th of 13 at Riccarton Park on September 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Go Thea with 125lbs at $21.90. Among the winning hopes on best form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.