AU - Muswellbrook - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

OENOLOGY (1) tough gelding who drops sharply in grade and has an excellent record over this track and trip. Covered ground in the run and outclassed when eighth to Tavros over 1m in the Gunnedah Cup. Maps well with the 9lbs claim. Hard to stop. SMART BUY (2) back marker desperate for an improving surface and fast tempo. Has a good record over this trip and gets her chance with Weatherlake's 9lbs claim. Look for her to swoop late. THE COMANCHE (10) three runs back have been encouraging and doesn't have to improve much to win this. Closed strongly in the heavy (10) going to finish second over 7 ½f at Port Macquarie. Must be included on the strength of that form. CORPSMAN (11) dropped in grade with a surprise victory over 7f at Tamworth in BM50 class. Minor place chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Last start sat on the pace before fading 8th of 10 at Gunnedah Gunn Cup Bm92 on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Tavros carrying 117lbs at $31. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track Bm58 May 1 over 7 ½f defeating Jason Darren with 131lbs at $8.50. Best form stacks up nicely and can return to form with the 9lbs claim. 1st Pick 1 Oenology Jockey: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren Trainer: David Hatch J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren T: David Hatch	124	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start sat on the pace before fading 8th of 10 at Gunnedah Gunn Cup Bm92 on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Tavros carrying 117lbs at $31. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track Bm58 May 1 over 7 ½f defeating Jason Darren with 131lbs at $8.50. Best form stacks up nicely and can return to form with the 9lbs claim.
2	Last start 8th of 14 at Scone Ctry Cl2 on May 31 over 7f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Arapawa with 130lbs at $6.50. The run before that 7th of 16 at Scone Cl2 on May 15 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Brutal Belle carrying 123lbs at $41. Better than that latest effort and can improve sharply with the claim. 2nd Pick 2 Smart Buy Jockey: Anna Weatherlake Trainer: Rodney Northam J: Anna Weatherlake T: Rodney Northam	155	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start 8th of 14 at Scone Ctry Cl2 on May 31 over 7f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Arapawa with 130lbs at $6.50. The run before that 7th of 16 at Scone Cl2 on May 15 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Brutal Belle carrying 123lbs at $41. Better than that latest effort and can improve sharply with the claim.
10	Most recently 2nd of 12 at Port Macquarie Bm58 on May 18 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Yorikiri with 126lbs at $8.50. Before that 7th of 12 at Taree Bm58 on May 5 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Silver Tempest with 127lbs at $11. Nice effort last time. Capable of taking this out on the firmer surface. 3rd Pick 10 The Comanche Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Grant Jobson J: Grant Buckley T: Grant Jobson	75	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 12 at Port Macquarie Bm58 on May 18 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Yorikiri with 126lbs at $8.50. Before that 7th of 12 at Taree Bm58 on May 5 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Silver Tempest with 127lbs at $11. Nice effort last time. Capable of taking this out on the firmer surface.

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A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.