AU - Muswellbrook - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.2f

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 5

34.8K

VIEW

Verdict

REGAL PROBLEM (13) tired quickly last start at Kembla Grange when thrown into the deep end in the G3 Classic. She now drops right back to a far more suitable assignment and sprints well at this trip. Perfectly placed to bounce straight back into the winner's circle. FEARED (15) has come back in terrific order this prep, putting two wins together at short odds. He's going far too well to ignore and gets his chance to bring up the hat-trick. ANDALE ANDALE (10) was a sharp improver here last start when closing off strongly to get the verdict. She'll drift back again from the wide draw but can cause some grief late if the tempo is genuine. SOLITARIO (4) only warmed into it late at Newcastle second-up, so the rise in trip looks ideal. From a middle draw he should blend in at the right time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	At the latest run ran last of 16 at Kembla Grange in the G3 Kg Classic on March 13 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Feminino carrying 121lbs at $31. Before that 4th of 13 at Randwick Highway-C3 on February 14 over 1m, 2 len behind Warrior For Peace carrying 120lbs at $6. Much better placed at this level and is genuine winning hope. 1st Pick 13 Regal Problem Jockey: Mitchell Bell Trainer: Lyle Chandler J: Mitchell Bell T: Lyle Chandler	150	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 16 at Kembla Grange in the G3 Kg Classic on March 13 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Feminino carrying 121lbs at $31. Before that 4th of 13 at Randwick Highway-C3 on February 14 over 1m, 2 len behind Warrior For Peace carrying 120lbs at $6. Much better placed at this level and is genuine winning hope.
15	Third-up today. First-up favourite, came from midfield and won by a head at Tamworth Super Mdn-Sw February 13 over 6f defeating Ole Miss with 129lbs at $1.65. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Dubbo Cl1 March 15 over 6f defeating Call Me Terry carrying 128lbs at $1.50. Well placed to bring up the hat-trick. 2nd Pick 15 Feared Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Mack Griffith J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Mack Griffith	150	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up favourite, came from midfield and won by a head at Tamworth Super Mdn-Sw February 13 over 6f defeating Ole Miss with 129lbs at $1.65. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Dubbo Cl1 March 15 over 6f defeating Call Me Terry carrying 128lbs at $1.50. Well placed to bring up the hat-trick.
10	Most recently came from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track Ctry Cl2 March 8 over 6f defeating Gelsey carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Before that 9th of 13 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on February 21 over 6 ½f, 9 len behind Rose Aye with 119lbs at $11. Is sure to be competitive. 3rd Pick 10 Andale Andale Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: Lyle Chandler J: Anna Roper T: Lyle Chandler	117	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently came from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track Ctry Cl2 March 8 over 6f defeating Gelsey carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Before that 9th of 13 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on February 21 over 6 ½f, 9 len behind Rose Aye with 119lbs at $11. Is sure to be competitive.

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