AU - Muswellbrook - Race 5

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

6.4f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ROLLING HOME (1) resumes as the horse to beat, with last campaign's second to Tron Bolt in a 2yo Open at Randwick-Kensington reading well for a country maiden. He returns as a gelding and looked very impressive in his latest trial win. Can return with a bang. MACHRIHANISH (11) is race fit and comes off a half-length second at Canberra, with Guymer sticking from that effort. That effort stacks up and she can go one better. IMELDA (6) Has strong claims after a couple of handy trials coming into this event for the Messara & Gavranich stable with stable hoop Bullock in the irons. Can make an impact right away. PARIS KNIGHTS (9) 3yo gelding out of the So You Think mare City Of Love. Four trial seconds give him a solid education for his debut. Watch for any market moves.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last campaign with a strong second in a 2yo Open over 7f at Randwick-Kensington, beaten three lengths by Tron Bolt after leading. He had earlier closed off well at Kembla Grange and has placed three times from four starts. Resumes a gelding on the back of an impressive Tamworth trial win and he looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 1 Rolling Home Jockey: Heavelon Van Der Hoven Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Heavelon Van Der Hoven T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	115	-	-	-	56%	4/5
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last campaign with a strong second in a 2yo Open over 7f at Randwick-Kensington, beaten three lengths by Tron Bolt after leading. He had earlier closed off well at Kembla Grange and has placed three times from four starts. Resumes a gelding on the back of an impressive Tamworth trial win and he looks the one to beat.
11	Lifted strongly at Canberra last start, finishing second to First Assault and beaten half a length after being near the top of an open market. That was a much better effort than her Kembla Grange failure, where she jumped awkwardly and raced wide. Bounced back last time out and can go one better this time around. 2nd Pick 11 Machrihanish Jockey: Shaun Guymer Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Shaun Guymer T: Richard & Will Freedman	170	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Lifted strongly at Canberra last start, finishing second to First Assault and beaten half a length after being near the top of an open market. That was a much better effort than her Kembla Grange failure, where she jumped awkwardly and raced wide. Bounced back last time out and can go one better this time around.
4	Went within a head at Nowra last start despite blowing the start and being held up on the home turn, so there was merit in the finish even though he was beaten as odds-on favourite. His previous Gosford run was only fair in a small field, but this campaign has been trending the right way. Third-up now and with plenty of upside, he can play a major role. 3rd Pick 4 Bold Bucks Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Non Runner T: Richard & Will Freedman	108	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Went within a head at Nowra last start despite blowing the start and being held up on the home turn, so there was merit in the finish even though he was beaten as odds-on favourite. His previous Gosford run was only fair in a small field, but this campaign has been trending the right way. Third-up now and with plenty of upside, he can play a major role.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.