AU - Muswellbrook - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.4f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

18.1K

VIEW

Verdict

MAGURTZ (6) two-start Maiden who finds a weaker contest after fading late when fifth over 6f at Beaumont (Newcastle). Tackles a more suitable contest and expected to go close from the low gate. BELLARATA (4) four-year-old mare by Pierata from Bellevue Girl on debut for the Waterhouse & Bott stable. Has trialled on seven occasions leading into today's race and can figure prominently in this winnable race. LA POTENZA (8) resumes from a lengthy break without a trial after showing potential in her first campaign. Stalked the speed when a battling second over 5f at Grafton. Expected to have strengthened over the spell and worth thought. VILLAINESS (14) has looked plain in her two career starts and drops back a level for this. Covered ground from the gate and never looked a chance when eighth over 6f at Gosford in a Super Mdn. A top-four finish is possible.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 9 at Scone Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 5f, 2 len behind Too Darn Finesse with 127lbs at $2.45. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 6f, 3 len behind Harry's Halo carrying 127lbs at $6. Won't find this as tough and sure to be thereabouts. 1st Pick 6 Magurtz Jockey: Christian Reith Trainer: Scott Singleton J: Christian Reith T: Scott Singleton	117	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 9 at Scone Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 5f, 2 len behind Too Darn Finesse with 127lbs at $2.45. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 6f, 3 len behind Harry's Halo carrying 127lbs at $6. Won't find this as tough and sure to be thereabouts.
4	Four-year-old mare (Pierata - Bellevue Girl) has trialled on seven occasions leading into today's race. Ran fourth over 5 ¼f in a Randwick trial on December 30. Has genuine top-three claims with leading apprentice aboard. 2nd Pick 4 Bellarata Jockey: Zac Wadick Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Zac Wadick T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	92	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Four-year-old mare (Pierata - Bellevue Girl) has trialled on seven occasions leading into today's race. Ran fourth over 5 ¼f in a Randwick trial on December 30. Has genuine top-three claims with leading apprentice aboard.
8	Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Grafton 2yo Mdn-Sw July 6 over 5f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Steffi Electrica with 121lbs at $4.40. On debut third of 8 at Sunshine Coast 2yo Mdn June 22 over 6f, soft track, a long neck behind Summation with 120lbs at $3.10. Back without a trial and shouldn't be a Maiden for long. 3rd Pick 8 La Potenza Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough J: Braith Nock T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough	136	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Grafton 2yo Mdn-Sw July 6 over 5f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Steffi Electrica with 121lbs at $4.40. On debut third of 8 at Sunshine Coast 2yo Mdn June 22 over 6f, soft track, a long neck behind Summation with 120lbs at $3.10. Back without a trial and shouldn't be a Maiden for long.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.