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3:49 AM

AU - Muswellbrook - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
4.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
18.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TRIPLE YES (2) lands here after winning a CL1 at Port Macquarie as favourite, with Aaron Bullock back aboard and barrier 2 helping her case. She's a speedy customer and if she handles the quick turnaround, she'll be very tough to run down once again. BLIND SQUIRREL (5) was dominant breaking through in Maiden grade at Wellington when off a long break. This is tougher, but there's enough substance in her first-up figures to suggest the fresh win wasn't a fluke. OUR EMILY (7) is better suited coming back in trip today and won't be far away. BLUE DANE (6) was solid on resumption and makes some appeal with no weight on her back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Triple Yes silk

Bounced back at Port Macquarie last week, winning a Class 1 over 5f on soft ground as favourite and holding Dirty Does It by just under a length. Her previous run at this track was only fair after an awkward start and shifting ground near the 1f, but Aaron Bullock is one-for-one on her and barrier 2 gives her every chance to race handy again. Too good from the front last time out and she'll be tough to catch once again.

1st Pick
2

Triple Yes

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Liam Ruddy

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Liam Ruddy

146---53%10/11

Analysis

Bounced back at Port Macquarie last week, winning a Class 1 over 5f on soft ground as favourite and holding Dirty Does It by just under a length. Her previous run at this track was only fair after an awkward start and shifting ground near the 1f, but Aaron Bullock is one-for-one on her and barrier 2 gives her every chance to race handy again. Too good from the front last time out and she'll be tough to catch once again.

4
Alabama Hammer silk

Returns from a three-month break after ending her first campaign with a sixth at provincial Newcastle, where she led and faded late on soft ground. Her debut win at the same venue in Maiden grade, beating Cape Cod, showed clear ability and she has only had two starts, so there is upside. Off a short break, but looks well suited dropping to country grade.

2nd Pick
4

Alabama Hammer

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Gregory Mcfarlane

J: Non Runner

T: Gregory Mcfarlane

82---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Returns from a three-month break after ending her first campaign with a sixth at provincial Newcastle, where she led and faded late on soft ground. Her debut win at the same venue in Maiden grade, beating Cape Cod, showed clear ability and she has only had two starts, so there is upside. Off a short break, but looks well suited dropping to country grade.

5
Blind Squirrel silk

Returned in sharp order at Wellington, winning a Maiden by five and a half lengths on soft ground after settling prominently and kicking right away as favourite. That was a complete turnaround from her Gosford debut last year, when last of eight after being near the top of betting. Bolted in off a long break at Wellington and she has to come into calculations off tha performance.

3rd Pick
5

Blind Squirrel

Jockey: Clayton Gallagher

Trainer: Gregory Mcfarlane

J: Clayton Gallagher

T: Gregory Mcfarlane

104---27%11/4

Analysis

Returned in sharp order at Wellington, winning a Maiden by five and a half lengths on soft ground after settling prominently and kicking right away as favourite. That was a complete turnaround from her Gosford debut last year, when last of eight after being near the top of betting. Bolted in off a long break at Wellington and she has to come into calculations off tha performance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.