AU - Muswellbrook - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

18.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SOSUEME (7) capable on her day and drops in grade and trip third-up. Solid return at Scone, then failed to get into the contest when a plugging sixth over 5 ½f at Gosford. Appeals today and no excuses in this weaker contest. DIFENSIVO (4) had mixed luck in his four career starts and finds a much easier race. Sat on the fast tempo when a battling third over 5 ½f at Gosford. Placed over this track and trip three-back and looks the main danger. SILENT SERENADE (11) has shown ability placing in all her three starts at Tamworth over this trip. Will go back from the gate and strips fitter second-up. MOKE LAKE (1) returns after 11 months in the paddock without a trial. Stretched out in trip when a battling fourth over 7 ¼f at Quirindi last February. Leading rider booked and must be kept safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Scone Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Too Darn Finesse carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Gosford F&M Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Mercy Me with 128lbs at $16. Capable of sharp improvement in this easier race. 1st Pick 7 Sosueme Jockey: Lee Magorrian Trainer: Nathan Doyle J: Lee Magorrian T: Nathan Doyle	185	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Scone Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Too Darn Finesse carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Gosford F&M Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Mercy Me with 128lbs at $16. Capable of sharp improvement in this easier race.
4	Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me with 127lbs at $8.50. Before that 4th in a small field at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Mdn on December 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Monopolistic carrying 128lbs at $7.50. On-pacer who will take catching this time. 2nd Pick 4 Difensivo Jockey: Mitchell Bell Trainer: Nacim Dilmi J: Mitchell Bell T: Nacim Dilmi	156	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me with 127lbs at $8.50. Before that 4th in a small field at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Mdn on December 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Monopolistic carrying 128lbs at $7.50. On-pacer who will take catching this time.
11	Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 at Tamworth Mdn on December 22 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 126lbs at $7. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Tamworth Mdn-Sw on August 29 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Bullion Hunter carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Progressing well and can get off the mark. 3rd Pick 11 Silent Serenade Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Tim Mcintosh J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Tim Mcintosh	140	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 at Tamworth Mdn on December 22 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 126lbs at $7. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Tamworth Mdn-Sw on August 29 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Bullion Hunter carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Progressing well and can get off the mark.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.