AU - Moruya - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

8.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

THINK I DO (6) is the one to beat off a clear forgive run at Canterbury, where she was wide without cover for the majority over 1 ³/16m and was bumped near the 1 ½f. The return to 1 m suits, with two wins and four placings from six attempts at the distance. The inside draw is a big tick, and she can return to winning ways back in trip. MISS STALWART (5) is racing well without winning and maps to get a lovely chance once again. The 4lbs claim gets her right down in the weights now and if she can run up to her recent form, she'll be right in the finish. ONEFORIAN (3) has been beaten at Kembla BM64 company at his past two. Back to country company now is a big tick and Keatings knows him well. Can press on and give them something to catch. RILEYCAT (4) was plain last start at Canterbury, though her previous third there after being held up shows she is capable of improving back in this company. PERUNO (8) is worth keeping safe.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Forgive the Canterbury eighth over 1 ³/16m, as she jumped awkwardly, raced wide without cover throughout and was bumped near the 1 ½f before finishing beaten just over eight lengths. Her Canberra third in a Benchmark 65 two back was stronger, and she is well suited back to 1 m with two wins and four placings from six starts at the distance. Back to this trip is a good push for her chances and she looks well placed to return to winning ways. 1st Pick 6 Think I Do Jockey: Claire Ramsbotham Trainer: B Joseph & P & M Jones J: Claire Ramsbotham T: B Joseph & P & M Jones	136	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Forgive the Canterbury eighth over 1 ³/16m, as she jumped awkwardly, raced wide without cover throughout and was bumped near the 1 ½f before finishing beaten just over eight lengths. Her Canberra third in a Benchmark 65 two back was stronger, and she is well suited back to 1 m with two wins and four placings from six starts at the distance. Back to this trip is a good push for her chances and she looks well placed to return to winning ways.
5	Stayed in the fight when fourth at Canberra last start, beaten just over two lengths after moving into the race before her effort levelled off late. That followed a sharper second in a Benchmark 65 on soft ground, beaten half a length by Feazabeel after travelling well. Racing in top order and she should get ever chance. 2nd Pick 5 Miss Stalwart Jockey: Deon Le Roux Trainer: Nick Olive J: Deon Le Roux T: Nick Olive	148	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Stayed in the fight when fourth at Canberra last start, beaten just over two lengths after moving into the race before her effort levelled off late. That followed a sharper second in a Benchmark 65 on soft ground, beaten half a length by Feazabeel after travelling well. Racing in top order and she should get ever chance.
3	Led them up in a Benchmark 64 at Kembla Grange last start but could not finish it off, running ninth behind Tom Cruising while beaten just over three lengths. His previous sixth there reads better than the result, as he led and fought on before conceding late. Can find the front and will give them something to catch. 3rd Pick 3 Oneforian Jockey: Coriah Keatings Trainer: Nick Olive J: Coriah Keatings T: Nick Olive	131	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Led them up in a Benchmark 64 at Kembla Grange last start but could not finish it off, running ninth behind Tom Cruising while beaten just over three lengths. His previous sixth there reads better than the result, as he led and fought on before conceding late. Can find the front and will give them something to catch.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.