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2:30 AM

AU - Moruya - Race 2

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
19.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AUTUMN FLYER (1) is a four-year-old gelding by The Autumn Sun on debut for the Theresa Bateup stable. Hit the line nicely in his sole lead-up trial and gets the key booking of Brodie Loy. Bold start expected. MRS FLANDERS (7) missed the placings when resuming at Newcastle two runs back then improved last start but found a couple better over 4 ½f at the same venue. Finds the right race this time and can find winning form. MONTE SHELL (11) has shown good tactical speed in her first two starts but tired late. Fitter now and should look to give another bold sight. Could steal it if left alone. MR BAZZA (2) finds the maiden win elusive but resumes in new colours and has been fitted with a solid trial in readiness. Drawn cosy for Keatings and is in the mix. EMPTY POCKETS (10) wasn't far away on debut back in April before spelling. Hasn't been seen at public trials in readiness but is one to keep in mind. Especially if there's a market lean.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Autumn Flyer silk

Facing the starter for the first time. Four-year-old gelding by The Autumn Sun out of Mali Rose. At the most recent trial was out of the placings at Illawarra Grange over 4f August 4. Promising type who should be primed for a big debut.

1st Pick
1

Autumn Flyer

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Theresa Bateup

J: Non Runner

T: Theresa Bateup

105---11%17/2

Analysis

Facing the starter for the first time. Four-year-old gelding by The Autumn Sun out of Mali Rose. At the most recent trial was out of the placings at Illawarra Grange over 4f August 4. Promising type who should be primed for a big debut.

7
Mrs Flanders silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 9 at Newcastle on July 11 over 4 ½f, on a wet track, 6 len behind Sprightly Affair carrying 122lbs at $9. Last start 3rd of 8 at Newcastle on August 1 over 4 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Epic with 119lbs at $11. Racing well. Definite chance.

2nd Pick
7

Mrs Flanders

Jockey: Brock Ryan

Trainer: Kerry Parker

J: Brock Ryan

T: Kerry Parker

118---31%9/4

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 9 at Newcastle on July 11 over 4 ½f, on a wet track, 6 len behind Sprightly Affair carrying 122lbs at $9. Last start 3rd of 8 at Newcastle on August 1 over 4 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Epic with 119lbs at $11. Racing well. Definite chance.

11
Monte Shell silk

Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 9 at Kembla Grange on June 20 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Hostwin King carrying 121lbs at $21. Last start 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange on July 16 over 5f, 4 len behind Hearts Affair carrying 121lbs at $11. Progressive and is among the top chances.

3rd Pick
11

Monte Shell

Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire

Trainer: Robert & Luke Price

J: Jean Van Overmeire

T: Robert & Luke Price

145---20%4/1

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 9 at Kembla Grange on June 20 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Hostwin King carrying 121lbs at $21. Last start 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange on July 16 over 5f, 4 len behind Hearts Affair carrying 121lbs at $11. Progressive and is among the top chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.