AU - Mingenew - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ADDICTIVE DREAM (5) gets top billing after a Carnarvon 3yo+ Class 1 win over 6f, where she beat Magic Carats by just under a length and showed enough fight late to offset the plain run before it. She is already a two-time winner at the distance, which gives her the clearest profile among the main chances. LE TROY (6) is the harder read: recent 7f form is modest, including a five-and-a-half length defeat at Junction, but the return to 6f and the class set-up keep him in the discussion if he can find his better version. SWISHGOBANGO (2) has the most reliable current form after beating Costa Star in a 3yo+ Benchmark 48+ at Junction, and his one win and one placing from four tries at the trip are positives. DRAGONFLIES (9) brings distance credentials with three wins over 6f, but his recent defeats mean he looks more like a value danger.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Drove hard late to win a 3yo+ Class 1 at Carnarvon last start, beating Magic Carats by just under a length over this distance. That followed a ninth behind Soaring Solo in a 3yo+ Benchmark 56+, where she covered ground and was never a true threat. The 7lbs claim helps, and she sets a solid standard despite a mixed lead-up. 1st Pick 5 Addictive Dream Jockey: Tara Atherden Trainer: Ray Malpass J: Tara Atherden T: Ray Malpass	97	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Drove hard late to win a 3yo+ Class 1 at Carnarvon last start, beating Magic Carats by just under a length over this distance. That followed a ninth behind Soaring Solo in a 3yo+ Benchmark 56+, where she covered ground and was never a true threat. The 7lbs claim helps, and she sets a solid standard despite a mixed lead-up.
6	Needs forgiving for two plain 7f runs, most recently sixth at Junction in a 3yo+ Benchmark 48+ when he held ground but made no real impression. Two back at Carnarvon he was beaten over 14 lengths after being eased near the 6 ½f, so the recent figures are not flattering. Needs improvement, yet the setup gives him a chance. 2nd Pick 6 Le Troy Jockey: Jason Li Trainer: Ken Nightingale J: Jason Li T: Ken Nightingale	70	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Needs forgiving for two plain 7f runs, most recently sixth at Junction in a 3yo+ Benchmark 48+ when he held ground but made no real impression. Two back at Carnarvon he was beaten over 14 lengths after being eased near the 6 ½f, so the recent figures are not flattering. Needs improvement, yet the setup gives him a chance.
2	Brought his form together at Junction last start, winning a 3yo+ Benchmark 48+ by a neck from Costa Star after travelling well and finding enough late. That was a clear improvement on his Carnarvon sixth over 1m, where he was there to strike but found little. Can feature. 3rd Pick 2 Swishgobango Jockey: Ebony Johnson Trainer: Sean Rains J: Ebony Johnson T: Sean Rains	81	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Brought his form together at Junction last start, winning a 3yo+ Benchmark 48+ by a neck from Costa Star after travelling well and finding enough late. That was a clear improvement on his Carnarvon sixth over 1m, where he was there to strike but found little. Can feature.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.